Sunday NBA PrizePicks Props: Parlay Harden & Ayton (May 8)
AP Photo/Darron Cummings. Pictured: James Harden
- Our NBA props analyst has found two great plays on PrizePicks for Sunday.
- He's eying the over on a Deandre Ayton prop and an under on a James Harden prop.
- Check out his analysis and picks below.
Player props have become among the most popular bets in the industry, but while the amount of states with legalized gambling is growing, some may feel left out.
With PrizePicks, you get the opportunity to essentially parlay game prop over/unders with cash payouts depending on how many you get correct on that day’s slate.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. Meanwhile, a Power Play is similar to a parlay — it’s all or nothing.
Here’s how I would approach today’s slate in NBA Playoffs slate.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.
NBA PrizePicks Parlay
Deandre Ayton Over 16.5 Points
I’m guilty. I can’t quit this Deandre Ayton points prop. He has failed us in the last two games, but I am going right back to the well in Game 4. Playing against the Mavericks is still a massive mismatch for Ayton. He dominated in Game 1 but has been disappointing the last two games. I think he bounces back in Game 4.
Ayton is still shooting 53.3% from the field during this series and averaged a career-high 63.4% this season. If Ayton can stay out of foul trouble like he couldn’t do in Game 2, he should get over this prop line. He averaged 17.2 points during the regular season and has averaged 19.2 points per game during the playoffs.
This line is set at 17.5 points in sportsbooks with a slight lean to the under, but that isn’t swaying me going back to this prop! Points props on PrizePicks seem to be the way to go for the best value, and this Ayton prop stands out among the rest in this first game. Expect the Suns to get back on track with a big Ayton game today.
James Harden Under 34.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Not only has this Miami Heat series been a struggle for James Harden, but so has the playoff journey in general. Even when Joel Embiid was not playing, Harden still had a difficult time as he has basically been passed by Tyrese Maxey on the depth chart in terms of Usage Rate and production on the 76ers.
Harden has hit the under on this 34.5 PRA in every game this series as he is averaging 17.7 points, seven rebounds, and 6.7 assists per game. He is also shooting 38.3% from the field, 21% from behind the arc and has a 26.6% Usage Rate. With or without Embiid, Harden has really struggled in this series.
Until Harden can prove he can compete at a high level against the Heat, he will remain a fade. Even if you add in the first-round series against the Toronto Raptors, Harden is still coming in under this prop for his averages. Embiid should be healthy tonight, which makes this fade seem more comfortable.
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