- Tonight's Timberwolves-Warriors game (10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN) opened with an over/under of 239.5, the highest of the season so far.
- Since then, it's been bet up to 243, making it the highest over/under in the NBA since 2009.
It’s been an eventful past couple days for the over/under market in sports betting. Twenty-four hours after NIU and Akron closed with the lowest college football total in two years, the NBA slate features its highest total in almost a decade.
Tonight’s Timberwolves-Warriors over/under opened at 239.5, which already made it the highest opening total of the young season. The betting activity, however, has this number approaching record territory.
Seventy-nine percent of bets and 92% of dollars have come on the over despite the lofty total, which has moved all the way up to 243 as a result.
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That number is not only the highest of this season, but it’s the highest the NBA has seen since 2009 according to our Bet Labs software (the Suns had two games higher that year, one at 245 and one at 244 — both went over).
Golden State and Minnesota — as well as pretty much the entire league — have both been putting up points in bunches this year. The Warriors unsurprisingly top the list with 125 points per game, and the Wolves’ 116 ppg ranks eighth.
As a result of the explosion in scoring this season, overs have covered at a 60% rate (69-46-1 record), causing oddsmakers to inflate totals up to historically high numbers.
And with nine hours still remaining until tip-off, it’s not out of the question to think that we might have a record-high NBA over/under tonight.