If you're searching for who went home on Survivor last night, Chrissy Hofbeck and Coach Wade were both eliminated in a shocking double elimination during Episode 8 of Survivor 50.
While some viewers found their exit to be a shocker, Kalshi traders were once again spot-on with their predictions of who would join Dee on the jury after Episode 8.
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What Did Kalshi Prediction Markets Say Before Episode 8?
The elimination wasn't just predictable to superfans, as Kalshi's prediction markets called it with remarkable confidence days in advance.
- ✅ Chrissy's odds of being eliminated were priced at 92%
- ✅ Coach's odds of being eliminated were priced at 82%
Traders also gave a 90% chance that both would be eliminated together, signaling that the market had sniffed out the double-elimination format before it aired.
This wasn't a lucky guess. Kalshi's Survivor 50 markets have accurately predicted all 11 players voted off since the season premiere on February 24th.
The pattern has raised eyebrows: in the days before Episode 7, Christian Hubicki's elimination odds soared above 90%, then dropped to 8% hours before air, right as Dee Valladares' odds spiked. She was voted out that night.
Whether it's spoiler-informed trading or the wisdom of crowds, the markets have been uncannily accurate all season.
Episode 8's Biggest Twist: Pairing Players
Jeff Probst introduced a brand-new twist: castaways were forced to pair up, and whatever happened to your partner happened to you. Win immunity together, get voted off together. Cirie drew the odd one out and was sent to Exile Island, safe from elimination, but without a vote.
The fatal pairing was Chrissy & Coach.
Who Went Home on Survivor Last Night?
Joe and Tiffany won immunity, earning safety plus a spaghetti-and-tiramisu reward. At Tribal, Coach played his Shot in the Dark; it came up Not Safe.
The votes poured in: six against Chrissy and Coach, enough to send them both to the jury.
Coach had spent the episode being begged by his own allies to lie low after bragging he'd "driven" the previous vote. He proved incapable of it. Chrissy, who'd been trying to manage his chaos all episode, paid the price for being tied to him by the twist.
Who's Left in the Game?: How the Sole Survivor Predicts Markets Have Shifted
Chrissy and Coach become the second and third jury members, joining Dee.
Eleven castaways remain: Cirie, Christian, Aubry, Devens, Jonathan, Emily, Rizo, Joe, Tiffany, Ozzy, and Stephenie.
Kalshi Survivor Odds
On Kalshi's $16.5 million winner market:
- Aubry Bracco remains the favorite, though her odds have slipped from 83% after this episode.
- Cirie Fields has seen the biggest surge, jumping from 8% to nearly 20%.
- Everyone else is in the low single digits.
Polymarket Survivor Odds
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The story is similar, but a little different on Polymarket.
Aubry Bracco remains the favorite, but public confidence in her has dipped.
