NFL Touchdown Odds Week 13: Sunday’s Best Picks and Predictions

NFL Touchdown Odds Week 13: Sunday’s Best Picks and Predictions article feature image
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Justin Herbert (10) and Kimani Vidal (30) of the Los Angeles Chargers celebrate their pass and catch touchdown connection during the first quarter against the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver on Sunday, October 13, 2024. (Photo by AAron Ontiveroz/The Denver Post)

Sunday of NFL Week 13 marks another round of betting PRO Projections' data-driven touchdown picks.

Factoring in price, our experts predictions and more, six picks make the cut from our state-of-the-art tool to score an anytime touchdown Sunday.

Frankly, touchdown picks Sunday from PRO Projections feature extremely attractive odds: Four of the six below are +500 or better!

It's the first year we've unleashed our proprietary data in one of the most fun betting markets in sports. Add a little more spice to Sunday Week 13 with a bunch of projection-fueled touchdown bets from Action PRO models.


NFL Touchdown Picks, Odds, Expert TD Predictions Sunday Week 13

You won't find a lot of popular picks in this column.

The Derrick Henrys and Saquon Barkleys of the world are properly (or overly) priced in touchdown markets this deep into the season, and our experts are completely aware of players who have more than likely peaked.

This week, predictions feature a bunch of players with either one or zero touchdowns this season.

I would not be worried in the slightest; PRO Projections have correctly predicted these players to score their first touchdowns in just the last few weeks:

Let's crush it Sunday. Picks span across 1 p.m. and 4:25 p.m ET windows.

NFL Touchdown Prediction No. 1 for Sunday

Action PRO's biggest edge for the entire Week 13 is, as mentioned, a player who has not scored a TD all year. Naturally, the price is too good to pass up, as projections expect a breakout sooner than later.

In the early window, the Colts travel to take on the Patriots. Running back Antonio Gibson for New England is the pick to click for touchdown bets, though you wouldn't think it.

Rhamondre Stevenson gets the majority of work, but has produced virtually nothing the last month. Gibson's versatility as a pass-catcher may be better-suited for the Patriots with Drake Maye under center, and PRO Projections at least forecast some optimist for Gibson heading forward.

Gibson is priced +650 at DraftKings, implying about a 12% chance he scores a touchdown vs. the Colts; that may be a figure too skewed to recency bias.

Our NFL experts project Gibson, who doesn't have a TD yet, to score about 24% of the time this Sunday.

It's one of the biggest edges we've logged the last few weeks.

PRO Projections Pick: Antonio Gibson Touchdown (+650)


NFL Touchdown Prediction No. 2 for Sunday

Don't know Chargers RB Kimani Vidal?