Arsenal (5-1-1) and Fulham (2-3-2) will face off today at 12:30 p.m. EDT at Craven Cottage in Fulham, England.
Arsenal is favored at a -182 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-111o / -111u) goals, but there’s another way to wager on this MLS match and make real money in all 50 states, via Kalshi, which blends traditional financial systems with innovative prediction markets.
Let’s take a look at Kalshi’s odds and see if there’s any value. And remember, you can use the promo code below to claim $10 when signing up as a new user.
Without further ado, let's get into my Arsenal vs. Fulham prediction.
Arsenal vs. Fulham Prediction
Pick: Arsenal to Win
My Arsenal vs. Fulham best bet is Arsenal to win outright.
Arsenal vs. Fulham Kalshi Pick, Betting Analysis
Arsenal looks poised to finally end its 22-year Premier League title drought. The Gunners sit one point ahead of Liverpool and boast a deep, balanced squad capable of sustaining their high level of play throughout the season — even while dealing with key absences like the current injury to Martin Odegaard.
Mikel Arteta’s side has won all four competitive matches since the 1-1 draw with Manchester City, conceding just one goal in that stretch. It’s hard to find a real weakness in this team: they have a top-tier goalkeeper in David Raya, one of the most solid defenses in Europe, a versatile midfield, and a lethal attack.
Their playing style is built around dominating possession. In fact, since the start of last season, Arsenal has allowed the fewest opposition touches inside the penalty area in the entire league.
That means Fulham will likely struggle to create clear scoring opportunities — especially considering they currently own the seventh-worst xG in the Premier League, which helps explain their 14th-place standing, with just 8 goals scored and 11 conceded.
No player under Marco Silva has scored more than once this season. Fulham’s last two matches ended in 3-1 defeats, and they’ve managed only one clean sheet in league play since March.
It’s true that Arsenal will have one eye on Tuesday’s Champions League clash against always-tough Atletico Madrid — and soccer always leaves room for surprises. Still, the stage is perfectly set for the Gunners to handle Fulham comfortably and stay at the top of the table.
Pick:Â Arsenal to Win (64% chance at Kalshi)
What is Kalshi?
Different than a traditional sportsbook and available in all 50 states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections and even weather.
Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment and like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).
