Manchester United (3-3-1) and Liverpool (5-2-0) will face off today at 11:30 a.m. EDT at Anfield in Liverpool, England.
Liverpool is favored at a -160 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (+100o / -135u) goals.
Let's get into my Man U vs. Liverpool prediction.
Man U vs. Liverpool Prediction
Pick: Liverpool to Win
My Man U vs. Liverpool best bet is on the Liverpool moneyline.
Man U vs. Liverpool Odds
| Man U Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 +125 | 3.5 100o / -135u | +375 |
| Liverpool Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -175 | 3.5 100o / -135u | -160 |
Man U vs. Liverpool Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Liverpool to Win (-163)
Leg 2: Both Teams To Score – Yes & Over 2.5 Goals (-139)
The international break should mark the end of a tricky spell for Liverpool. The Reds lost three consecutive matches in all competitions, including two in the Premier League. A match against its biggest rival seems perfectly timed to turn things around.
Liverpool haven’t lost a home Premier League match to Manchester United since 2016. Their last two meetings have finished all square, but before that, the Reds won 7-0 and 4-0.
There are issues in this Liverpool team, but perhaps they aren’t as severe as those facing United manager Ruben Amorim. His team is scoring more than last season but is also conceding more.
Striking a balance between attack and defense has also proven problematic for Arne Slot this season, so we are backing Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals – Yes as part of our Liverpool vs Manchester United predictions.
The Reds have one of the most lethal attacks in the Premier League. Hugo Ekitike has hit the ground running and has been joined by Alexander Isak. Mohamed Salah has made a slow start to the season, but he has scored 13 goals against Manchester United. The trio should get amongst the goals here.
A star-studded forward line has come at the expense of defensive solidity. Liverpool’s matches have seen an average of 3.14 goals, the joint-most in the Premier League. Moreover, Slot’s side has kept just two clean sheets in 11 competitive matches this season.
Like their opponents, Manchester United invested heavily in attackers in the summer. Their goal output has improved as a result, but the underlying data suggests that Amorim’s team should have scored more. They currently have the highest xG (expected goals) tally in the league with 14.06.
Man U vs. Liverpool Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Man U | Draw | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 21.4% | 18.3% | 60.3% |
Projected Total Goals
| Man U | Total Goals | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | 3.36 | 2.15 |
Man U vs. Liverpool Betting Analysis
Although the underlying data for United’s attack is promising, their defensive struggles look set to continue. The team has kept just one clean sheet in seven outings, and has the fourth-highest xGA (expected goals against) in the Premier League.
These teams drew 2-2 in this fixture last season. There were 32 shots in the match and a total of seven big chances created. We should see some scintillating attacking football once again.
Salah, who scored twice for Egypt during the World Cup qualifiers, will be keen to boost his, so far, modest Premier League tally. The striker has netted 23 times in 17 appearances against United, but Liverpool’s new attacking dynamics seem to have affected Salah more than any other Reds players.
Manchester United is winless on the road since mid-March. They face a daunting task at Anfield, a venue they haven't achieved three points at since 2016.
The odds see the reigning champions as favorites, priced at 1.57. Our predictions align, suggesting a high-scoring affair given both teams' recent issues in controlling games.
Interestingly, over 2.5 goals has been a winning bet in ten of the last 11 meetings between these two clubs in all competitions. Our internal data projection model, BETSiE, forecasts a match goal output of 3.37xG – the highest expected total for any matchday eight fixture in the Premier League.
Man U vs. Liverpool Projected Starting Lineups
Man U
Lammens; Yoro, De Ligt, Shaw; Dalot, Fernandes, Ugarte, Dorgu; Mbeumo, Mount; Sesko.
Liverpool
Alisson; Szoboszlai, Konate, Van Dijk, Kerkez; Gravenberch, Jones; Salah, Wirtz, Gakpo; Ekitike.
