Newcastle United (2-2-3) and Brighton & Hove Albion (2-2-3) will face off today at 10:00 a.m. EDT at American Express Community Stadium in Brighton, England.
The odds are nearly even for this matchup — Brighton sits at +162 and Newcastle at +160 — with the over/under set at 2.5 goals (-120o / -102u) at traditional sportsbooks. But there’s another way to wager on this Premier League match and make real money in all 50 states, and that's through Kalshi, which blends traditional financial systems with innovative prediction markets.
Let’s take a look at Kalshi’s odds and see if there’s any value. And remember, you can use the promo code below to claim $10 when signing up as a new user.
Without further ado, let's get into my Newcastle vs. Albion prediction.
Newcastle vs. Brighton Prediction
Pick: Brighton to Win
My Newcastle vs. Brighton best bet is Brighton to win outright.
Newcastle vs. Brighton Kalshi Pick, Betting Analysis
If anyone thinks a mid-table clash is meaningless, they should think twice about Newcastle vs. Brighton. Sure, both teams have been wildly inconsistent in this young Premier League season, but they also happen to be two of the most entertaining sides to watch.
The Magpies managed to keep together one of the league’s top midfields: Sandro Tonali, Bruno GuimarĂ£es, and Joelinton. The main question is how they’ll hold up physically after international duty, especially the two Brazilians, who just played friendlies in South Korea and Japan.
Up front, Newcastle also have several players coming off a busy international break. Their main scoring threat, Nick Woltemade, featured for Germany, while Anthony Gordon represented England and Anthony Elanga played for Sweden.
Adding to the challenge, Newcastle will host Benfica on Tuesday in a crucial Champions League match. With one win and one loss so far, they can’t afford to drop points at home.
Brighton, meanwhile, may not have as many stars, but under Fabian HĂ¼rzeler they’ve stayed true to the sharp, dynamic style instilled by his predecessor, Roberto De Zerbi. This season, they’ve already beaten Manchester City and Chelsea and drawn with Tottenham—three clubs with much deeper squads.
A well-drilled team that knows exactly how it wants to play, and one that comes in far fresher than its opponent—especially with Newcastle looking ahead to Tuesday’s Champions League fixture—makes Brighton to Win a smart play. Even more so considering their strong form at home, where they remain unbeaten.
Pick:Â Brighton to Win (36% chance at Kalshi)
What is Kalshi?
Different than a traditional sportsbook and available in all 50 states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections and even weather.
Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment and like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).
