The Phoenix Mercury (14-26) and Portland Fire (16-24) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. ET at Moda Center in Portland, Ore. The game will be broadcast live on FOX12+.
The Mercury are favored by -2.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 172.5 (-105o / -115u). The Mercury are a -142 favorite to win outright, while the Fire are +120 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into our Mercury vs. Fire predictions and WNBA picks, and be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Mercury vs. Fire Odds, Pick
| Mercury Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -115 | 172.5 -105o / -115u | -142 |
| Fire Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -105 | 172.5 -105o / -115u | +120 |
- Mercury vs. Fire Spread: Mercury -2.5 (-115), Fire +2.5 (-105)
- Mercury vs. Fire Over/Under: 172.5 (-105o / -115u)
- Mercury vs. Fire Moneyline: Mercury -142, Fire +120
- Mercury vs. Fire Best Bet: Over 172.5 (-105)
Mercury vs. Fire Preview
Our PRO tools project an edge on the over for this Mercury vs. Fire matchup.
While the consensus line is 172, we project the total at 177.5 points, which results in a great 7.8% edge against the market and an A- grade in our system.
Also, the number of bets and money percentage show increasing support for the over heading into tonight's tipoff.
As a reminder, you can see all of our WNBA game projections with an Action PRO Subscription. Find projected lines every day on the PRO Projections tab.
Mercury vs. Fire Prediction
Two of the last four Mercury games have gone over 172.5 points, and the same goes for the Fire in their past four contests.
In their last meeting, the total was 173 points, as Portland won 88-85.
These teams rank at the bottom of the league in defensive rating, with the Mercury 11th (108.6) and the Fire 14th (112.4).
No wonder both teams have been eliminated, so a shootout is more likely now, as the stakes are minimal.
This will also be the third matchup between these teams, and with the series tied at one win apiece, at least some pride in getting the upper hand could also come into play.
Best Bet: Over 172.5 (-105, DraftKings)
