The Las Vegas Aces (27-13) and Seattle Storm (8-32) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. ET at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Wash. The game will be broadcast live on USA.
The Aces are favored by -10.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 174.5 (-110o / -110u). The Aces are a -520 favorite to win outright, while the Storm are +390 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Aces vs. Storm WNBA predictions and WNBA picks, and be sure to download the Action Network app for more bets and analysis.
Aces vs. Storm Odds, Pick
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-10.5 -110 | 174.5 -110o / -110u | -520 |
| Storm Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+10.5 -110 | 174.5 -110o / -110u | +390 |
- Aces vs. Storm Spread: Aces -10.5 (-110), Storm +10.5 (-110)
- Aces vs. Storm Over/Under: 174.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Aces vs. Storm Moneyline: Aces -520, Storm +390
- Aces vs. Storm Best Bet: Natasha Hiedeman Under 13.5 Points (-128)
Aces vs. Storm Preview
Las Vegas rolls into Seattle riding a three-game winning streak ahead of the FIBA Women's Basketball World Cup and is a heavy road favorite.
A'ja Wilson continues to anchor this team at 26.0 points and 9.4 rebounds per game, and she's got real help around her, with Jackie Young averaging 18.9 points and Chelsea Gray leading the team with 6.8 assists per game, giving Las Vegas one of the more balanced, veteran-laden attacks in the league.
The Storm, by contrast, sit at 8-32 and have dropped a brutal stretch of games recently, including their last outing, a 90-74 loss to the Sparks.
However, Natasha Hiedeman has quietly put together a career year for Seattle, entering the night averaging a personal-best 15.4 points, along with strong assist numbers that lead the team.
She's capable of big scoring nights as she dropped 33 points on the Fever earlier this year, but her role has shifted noticeably over the past couple of weeks.
Aces vs. Storm Prediction
The recent trend here is the whole case. Over her last five games, Hiedeman has averaged just 9.6 points a night, well below both her season average and tonight's 13.5 line.
While her assists have actually climbed to 6.0 a game in that same stretch, a real shift toward facilitating over scoring rather than a shooting slump alone. That kind of role change tends to be more durable than a simple cold streak, since it reflects how the offense is actually being run through her right now rather than just a couple of bad shooting nights.
The matchup reinforces that shift. Las Vegas has one of the deeper, more disciplined perimeter defenses in the league, with Young and Gray both capable of applying real pressure on the ball, and Seattle's offense already ranks just 14th in the league in efficiency.
The Aces are such an overwhelming favorite tonight; there's also a real chance this game gets out of hand in Las Vegas's favor, which would only reinforce Seattle's incentive to run more offense through ball movement and quick, low-usage possessions rather than featuring Hiedeman as a high-volume scorer.
Between her recent cooling off in scoring, her expanding playmaking role, and a tough defensive matchup, the under aligns well with both her current form and our model's 10.28-point projection.
Best Bet: Natasha Hiedeman Under 13.5 Points (-128, DraftKings)
