The NFL Season is set to kick off tomorrow, with the Seahawks vs. Patriots matchup kicking off at 8:20 p.m. ET. The NFL futures markets have been running all offseason, but this is your last chance to check out the Super Bowl Odds before Week 1 muddies the waters.
Kalshi and Polymarket both have their Super Bowl winner trading live, alongside a slew of other NFL markets. Both also come in clutch ahead of the season with some NFL prediction market promos, letting you claim up to $75 in bonuses any time on Tuesday or Wednesday.
Handily, both come with the same welcome offer promo code as well. Simply use ACTION as either the Kalshi promo code or Polymarket promo code, and you can get $25 or $50 in bonuses, respectively. Why not claim both and end up with a healthy $75 to trade the Super Bowl or any other NFL options that take your fancy?
Our expert will compare their prices, give you the lowdown on the Super Bowl picture, and their prediction market promos before the season kicks off tomorrow.
Kalshi vs Polymarket Super Bowl Prices
If you're new, you need to know how prediction market apps price their markets.
- All prices are between $0.01 and $0.99.
- This shows you what the market thinks will happen in terms of probabilities, with the price equaling the percentage chance.
- The higher the price, the better the supposed chance, and the lower the payout.
| Super Bowl Winner | Kalshi (Price / Probability) | Polymarket (Price / Probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | $0.17 / 17% | $0.17 / 17% |
| Buffalo Bills | $0.08 / 8% | $0.09 / 9% |
| Seattle Seahawks | $0.07 / 7% | $0.07 / 7% |
As you can see above, the Rams are comfortably joint favorites with both platforms, sitting at $0.17. This is with their major offseason acquisitions that we will discuss later. It seems the whole football world, and those who ply their trade on prediction markets, are riding high on the Rams.
The only real deviation in price is small right now, between the Bills price on Kalshi ($0.08) and Polymarket ($0.09). This will change as the markets continue to grow. As of right now, you get a better price with Kalshi, and this is why it is worth shopping between the two. The Kalshi vs. Polymarket divide is not as wide as many think.
A simple one cent might be small now, but across a single large trade or several small ones, those one cents can often add up. Prices change regularly as the market shifts with both Kalshi and Polymarket; make sure to check the live chances before trading.
Why are the LA Rams the Super Bowl Favorites?
Rams fans are some of the happiest in football right now, as Sean McVay has had an electric offseason, bringing in some of the best pieces for both sides of the ball available in football right now.
The offense returns led by MVP Matt Stafford, with Puka Nacua fresh off a 1,700+ yard season, having recently added star Green Bay Packers WR Devante Adams. Another weapon for the dominant QB in the league does not bode well for the others in the NFC West.
However, the league is trembling in its cleats at what McVay has put together on defense. Bringing in the x2 DPOY Myles Garret and Trent McDuffie at CB was not enough for the Rams. No, now we have Aaron Donald coming back.
The three-time DPOY with 111 career sacks, 176 TFLs, and a Super Bowl ring is back in the Blue and Gold; offensive lines beware. Double teams were not enough to slow this man down, and while a two-year gap is a long time in the NFL, few put it past the best DT to play the game in the modern era.
Coming off a 12-win season where they led the NFL with 30 points per game and reached the NFC Championship Game, the Rams are primed for another major run, with home-field advantage in tow. With Super Bowl LXI set for their home turf at SoFi Stadium on Feb. 14, the market has already taken notice and priced them accordingly.
Kalshi vs Polymarket Welcome Offers for
The Kalshi promo code ACTION requires very little from players and gives you a great chance to get involved with the Super Bowl winner markets, and then get bonuses for the Patriots vs. Seahawks game later.
Just use the code ACTION when creating an account, make $25 in trades, and get $25 bonuses. That is it. The $25 in trades can be made on their Super Bowl odds, and then you get the $25 for the NFL opening kickoff on Wednesday night?
Polymarket is no slacker either, offering their players $50 in bonuses from just a $10 deposit, no spend even needed. Using the Polymarket promo code ACTION is crucial, but beyond this, players can do what they like with the $60 sat in their balance, post qualifying deposit.
Of course, all readers are more than welcome to claim either or both of these prediction market sign-up offers, with $75 in bonuses up for grabs if you do. Plenty to trade on some Super Bowl markets and still have some leftover for Week 1.
- Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
- 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
