Orioles vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2024

Orioles at Mariners

8:10 pm • MASN2

Baltimore Orioles

38-49

3 - 7

Seattle Mariners

46-42

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Miller			2.95	12-8
C.Burnes			2.92	15-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 38-49	-1.5+120	o7-105	-154
Mariners 46-42	+1.5-142	u7-115	+130

Thursday 8:10 p.m.

July 04, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

SEA +425 (Live)

4.25u

BAL -145

C.Burnes o18.5 Outs+155

BAL -142

R.O'Hearn o1.5 Total Bases+106

SEA +130

0.65u

Bet to +118

SEA +125

1.25u

C.Burnes u7.5 Ks-115

1.04u

Featured Insight
Orioles RPs have a strikeout rate of 25% vs left-handed batters since last season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB. Mariners left-handed hitters have struck out 27% against RHP since last season -- highest in MLB.

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The Orioles are 46-13 (.780) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Mariners are just 4-14 (.222) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.

Cal Raleigh has struck out in 29% of PA's since last season -- ninth highest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has a strikeout rate of 35% since last season -- tied for fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Cal Raleigh has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has a strikeout rate of 37% this season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .158 (9-for-57) against Bryce Miller on low fastballs this season -- 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .257 -- 94th Percentile.

Bryce Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .158 (9 Total Bases / 57 ABs) on low fastballs this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 -- 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 71% of the time (95/133) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% -- 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (262/395) since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 18-26 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Mariners' 44 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	36-52	18-26	18-26	19-37	16-13
Orioles	34-53	14-27	20-26	15-30	17-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	47-37-4	22-19-3	25-18-1	30-22-4	15-14
Orioles	37-47-3	22-17-2	15-30-1	22-21-2	14-25-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	46-42	23-21	23-21	30-26	14-15
Orioles	38-49	19-22	19-27	20-25	16-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	BAL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 7	BAL -148
Jul 3rd	BAL	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 7	BAL -111
Jun 30th	MIN	L 3-5	+1.5 L	O 6.5	MIN -105
Jun 30th	MIN	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7	MIN +100
Jun 29th	MIN	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7	SEA -130

Victor Robles
RF
Robles is out with shoulder
Out

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Jorge Mateo
SS
Mateo is out with hamstring
Out
Zach Eflin
SP
Eflin is out with back
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Adley Rutschman
C
Rutschman is out with oblique
Out
Cade Povich
SP
Povich is out with hip
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Burnes, P	94	6	6	2
RB.Baker, P	24	0.2	2	3
LK.Akin, P	27	1.1	3	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	3-5	1	1	2
2H.Kjerstad, DH	1-4	0	0	0
3R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Santander, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Westburg, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
6C.Cowser, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7C.Mullins, CF	2-4	0	0	0
8J.Mateo, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9J.McCann, C	2-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	93	5.2	6	2
RA.Voth, P	6	0.1	1	0
RR.Stanek, P	11	1	2	0
RT.Thornton, P	16	1	2	1
RA.Munoz, P	16	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	2-4	1	0	3
2M.Garver, DH	1-4	1	1	2
3C.Raleigh, C	0-4	0	0	0
4L.Raley, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Rodriguez, CF	2-4	2	1	1
6T.France, 1B	1-3	2	0	0
7J.Rojas, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8M.Haniger, RF	0-1	1	0	0
9R.Bliss, 2B	0-3	0	0	0