Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 2, 2023
Pirates at Cardinals
12:15 am • BSMWStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 4.98 | 6-3 | |
 |  | 4.21 | 13-9 |
Pirates at Cardinals Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Pirates 48-64 | -1.5+152 | o8.5-114 | -105 | |
Cardinals 56-57 | +1.5-184 | u8.5-106 | -115 | |
Busch StadiumSt. Louis
Pirates vs. Cardinals Expert Picks
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 141-160-9 (+2.1u)
STL -106
0.53u
Bet to -108
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 20-51-0 (-12.4u)
PIT -102
0.98u
Available at FanDuel. Mitch Keller has had a roller coaster year, but he's on a good swing recently. Over his past six starts, he has thrown more sinkers and cutters with fewer curves. It has helped him re-grow his strikeout rate back up to 27.1% with a 3.73 SIERA. The results have largely been solid, too, outside of one rough start against the Brewers. He's facing Dakota Hudson, who hasn't been bad but is letting up a 44.3% hard-hit rate since he got fully stretched out. The PIrates also hold the edge with their bullpen and defense, and it makes them 53.1% to win in my model, up from 50.5% implied.
PRO Insights
Pirates
PIT Insights
- Featured InsightCardinals Left Handed Hitters have struck out just 19% against RHP since last season -- fourth-lowest in MLB. PiratesRPs have a strikeout rate of just 21% vs left-handed batters since last season -- third-lowest in MLB.
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Cardinals
STL Insights
- Featured InsightPirates have won just 46% of their games that have been decided by one run or less over the last two weeks -- seventh-worst in MLB. Cardinals have won 57% of their games that have been decided by one run or less over the last two weeks -- fifth-best in MLB.
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Pirates vs. Cardinals Previews & Analysis
Pirates vs. Cardinals Notes
Keys to the Game
The Pirates are just 11-55 (.167) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.
Matchup Contrasts
31% of Paul Goldschmidt strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- sixth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 51% of Mitch Keller's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since last season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP-- 96th Percentile.
Alika Williams has a groundball rate of 57% over the last 30 days -- tied for eighth highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% against Dakota Hudson over the last 30 days -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Pirates vs. Cardinals Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Cardinals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Cardinals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Cardinals are 28-28 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Cardinals' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 29 of Cardinals' 56 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Cardinals vs. Pirates Injury Updates
Cardinals Injuries
- Nolan Arenado3B
Arenado is out with shoulder
Out
Pirates Injuries
- Johan OviedoSP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
- Endy Rodriguez1B
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
- Jared JonesSP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
- Spencer Horwitz1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable
Pirates vs. Cardinals Box Score
Pirates Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 98 | 6 | 8 | 1 | |
 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cardinals Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 90 | 7 | 0 | 1 | |
 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 35 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds Comparison
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Pirates at Cardinals Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Pirates 48-64 | N/A | N/A |
Cardinals 56-57 | N/A | N/A |