Twins vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - September 18, 2023

Twins at Reds

10:40 pm • Fox Sports 1

Minnesota Twins

13-17

3 - 7

Cincinnati Reds

16-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Phillips			6.97	1-1
J.Ryan			4.51	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 13-17	-1.5+105	o9.5-105	-157
Reds 16-13	+1.5-120	u9.5-115	+130

Monday 10:40 p.m.

September 18, 2023

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

MIN -145 (F5)

0.73u

Bet to -160

Twins vs. Reds: Fade This Rookie Pitcher
Kenny Ducey•
Sep 18, 2023 UTC

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The Reds are just 22-9 (.710) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Jonathan India has a miss rate of only 14% on elevated fastballs this season -- 13th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Joe Ryan has located his fastball up 65% of the time this season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 15% (81/521) against Adam Wainwright in 2022 -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 9-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Reds' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	17-12	8-5	9-7	8-5	9-6
Twins	16-14	10-5	6-9	12-9	4-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	13-15-1	5-7-1	8-8	3-9-1	9-6
Twins	11-16-3	5-9-1	6-7-2	8-11-2	3-5-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	16-13	7-6	9-7	9-4	7-8
Twins	13-17	9-6	4-11	11-10	2-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 17th	@NYM	L 4-8	+1.5 L	O 9	NYM +115
Sep 16th	@NYM	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CIN -104
Sep 15th	@NYM	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8	CIN -105
Sep 14th	@DET	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	DET +105
Sep 13th	@DET	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CIN +115

Willi Castro
2B
Castro is out with oblique
Out
Royce Lewis
3B
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out

Tyler Stephenson
C
Stephenson is out with oblique
Out
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ryan, P		84	5	5	4
LD.Keuchel, P		58	3	2	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2J.Polanco, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3R.Lewis, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
4M.Kepler, RF	2-4	1	0	0
5C.Correa, SS	0-0	0	0	0
5K.Farmer, PH	1-4	0	0	1
5K.Farmer, SS	1-4	0	0	1
6A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
7M.Wallner, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Vazquez, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Phillips, P	93	7	7	2
RD.Law, P	7	1	0	0
LA.Young, P	15	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
2T.Friedl, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3S.Steer, LF	3-4	1	0	1
4J.Fraley, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4N.Senzel, PH	1-1	1	0	0
4N.Senzel, DH	1-1	1	0	0
5T.Stephenson, C	0-3	1	0	0
6J. Votto, 1B	2-4	1	0	2
7E.De La Cruz, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Marte, 3B	1-3	1	0	1
9W.Benson, RF	1-3	1	1	3