Twins vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - September 18, 2023

Twins at Reds

10:40 pm • Fox Sports 1

Minnesota Twins

58-66

3 - 7

Cincinnati Reds

66-60

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Phillips			6.97	1-1
J.Ryan			4.51	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 58-66	-1.5+105	o9.5-105	-157
Reds 66-60	+1.5-120	u9.5-115	+130

Monday 10:40 p.m.

September 18, 2023

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

MIN -145 (F5)

0.73u

Bet to -160

Twins vs. Reds: Fade This Rookie Pitcher
Kenny Ducey•
Sep 18, 2023 UTC

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The Reds are just 22-9 (.710) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Jonathan India has a miss rate of only 14% on elevated fastballs this season -- 13th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Joe Ryan has located his fastball up 65% of the time this season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 15% (81/521) against Adam Wainwright in 2022 -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 31-30 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Reds' 63 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	65-59	34-29	31-30	24-31	41-27
Twins	63-61	32-29	31-32	34-38	27-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	45-72-7	20-38-5	25-34-2	13-39-3	31-33-4
Twins	52-66-6	26-32-3	26-34-3	32-37-3	19-28-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	66-60	35-28	30-31	30-25	35-33
Twins	58-66	33-28	25-38	38-34	19-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 17th	@NYM	L 4-8	+1.5 L	O 9	NYM +115
Sep 16th	@NYM	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CIN -104
Sep 15th	@NYM	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8	CIN -105
Sep 14th	@DET	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	DET +105
Sep 13th	@DET	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CIN +115

Alan Roden
OF
Roden is out with thumb
Out

Nick Lodolo
P
Lodolo is out with blister
Out
Noelvi Marte
IF
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
P
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
P
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ryan, P		84	5	5	4
LD.Keuchel, P		58	3	2	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2J.Polanco, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3R.Lewis, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
4M.Kepler, RF	2-4	1	0	0
5C.Correa, SS	0-0	0	0	0
5K.Farmer, PH	1-4	0	0	1
5K.Farmer, SS	1-4	0	0	1
6A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
7M.Wallner, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Vazquez, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Phillips, P	93	7	7	2
RD.Law, P	7	1	0	0
LA.Young, P	15	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
2T.Friedl, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3S.Steer, LF	3-4	1	0	1
4J.Fraley, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4N.Senzel, PH	1-1	1	0	0
4N.Senzel, DH	1-1	1	0	0
5T.Stephenson, C	0-3	1	0	0
6J. Votto, 1B	2-4	1	0	2
7E.De La Cruz, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Marte, 3B	1-3	1	0	1
9W.Benson, RF	1-3	1	1	3