Dodgers vs. Braves NLCS Game 4: Sharp Action, Windy Weather Moving Odds

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Kelly Gavin/MLB Photos via Getty Images. Pictured: Cody Bellinger

  • Sharp action and a PRO System weather match are both pointing toward the under in tonight's Dodgers-Braves game.
  • L.A. plated 11 runs in the first inning on Wednesday, a postseason record for a single frame, to inch closer to evening the series. Atlanta now has a 2-1 lead in this best of seven.
  • See why and how our systems are triggering matches for Dodgers vs. Braves below.

Dodgers vs. Braves Game 4 Odds

Dodgers Odds -228
Braves Odds +200
Over/Under 9 (-115/-106)
First Pitch 8:08 p.m. ET
TV FOX

Check out our new MLB PRO Report, where we highlight key factors that provide betting edges — like large wagers, historically profitable betting systems, model projections and expert picks — that when combined with sharp money can powerfully detail the smartest bets on a given slate.


In case you stopped watching after third inning of Game 2, let me inform you: the bats have come alive in the NLCS.

Thirty-three runs have been scored over the past 15 innings in this series, including an 11-run first-inning outburst by the Dodgers Wednesday evening. So how have oddsmakers responded?

Many did so by setting the early over/under line for Game 4 at 9.5 — tying Game 3 for the highest this Postseason. But as you might’ve noticed, that number — at least at most shops — is no longer available.

Our MLB PRO Report, along with the forecast in Arlington, helps explain why.

Data as of 9 a.m. ET. For immediate access to our MLB PRO Report, start a Free Trial today! You’ll also get:

  • Pro Betting Systems: historically profitable betting trends and angles built on millions of data points.
  • Line Move Predictions: know when a line will move — before it happens.
  • Live Public Betting Data: see where the real money is going for every game.

Dodgers vs. Braves PRO Report

Sharps have already made their opinion clear on tonight’s line, and the weather forecast has two of our PRO betting systems in agreement.

[Try PRO for FREE to track sharp action across all sports, including Sunday’s NFL slate.]

Sharp Action

It hasn’t necessarily been overwhelming, but the sharp action on tonight’s game thus far has come on just one side of this total — which you probably could’ve already guessed by the line movement, especially considering 73% of the early ticket count has landed on the over.

To confirm that pro activity, a Sports Insights Bet Signal — an indicator of sharp action based on specific instances of market movement — was triggered on the under overnight last night.

Sharp Action edge: Under

PRO Systems

Perhaps a reason that sharps are finding a bit of bonus value on the under tonight? The wind.

While tonight’s Globe Life Field roof status is still unknown*, if it does remain open — which it has for all six Postseason games it’s hosted thus far — scoring may come at a bit of a premium given the 13 to 15 mph winds blowing straight in from center.

In our database (since 2005), MLB games played in winds of just 5 mph or more from center field have hit the under at a 55.1% rate on a sample of almost 1,800 games, fitting this game into our Wind Blowing In PRO System for the time being.

That’s not the only PRO System lighting up with a match for this under, however. Thanks to the over’s popularity following 15- and 18-run games, tonight’s matchup also fits our Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams system, boasting the same 55.1% win rate on a sample of more than 2,600 games.

*7 p.m. ET update: Per Globe Life Field guest services, the roof will be open tonight.

PRO Systems edge: Under


Check out our new MLB PRO Report, where we highlight key factors that provide betting edges — like large wagers, historically profitable betting systems, model projections and expert picks — that when combined with sharp money can powerfully detail the smartest bets on a given slate.

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