The Pick Don

The Pick Don's Picks

Today
18
6
Pending
HOU -120
SF
SF Team Abbreviation@HOU Team Abbreviation
HOU
1.8u
10/26 5:00 PM
I don’t care what anyone says, I still believe in this Texans team. Their defense continues to be elite, and it’s only a matter of time before the offense figures it out. While not having Nico Collins won’t help, the 49ers defense is still very banged up. Matter of fact, the entire 49ers roster is banged up. The 49ers will be missing Brock Purdy, Ricky Pearsall, Brandon Aiyuk, Fred Warner, Nick Bosa, Jake Brendel, and Bryce Huff. They could also be without Deommodore Lenoir and Luke Gifford. You can’t possibly get more banged up than this. Almost every one of their stars is out with an injury. I don’t think this will go smoothly against the best defense in football. People ask me why I have the Texans as my 5th best team in the NFL. The reasoning is simple, their defensive unit is elite. Houston’s defense ranks 1st in EPA/play, 1st in total EPA, 1st in EPA/pass, and 2nd in completion percentage allowed. Mac Jones has done well as the backup, but this smells like a disaster day loading for Jones. The Texans will have a game plan to remove Christian McCaffrey from the equation, which leaves the 49ers offense in a tough spot. Houston has the best pass rush grade in the NFL and will pressure Jones all game. I think the Texans defense will single handedly win them this game. All we need from the offense is an average performance. The Texans offense has been awful at protecting C.J. Stroud, but the 49ers defense has been the 3rd worst team in sack rate. They also rank just 17th in EPA/pass and 25th in success rate. I respect Robert Saleh as a defensive coordinator, but he can only do so much with all these injuries piling up. The 49ers current defense grades out as the 25th worst unit in football. It’s now or never for the Texans. I’ll sell high on the 49ers and buy low on a team I have so much belief in.
9
3
Futures
Past Performance
Yesterday1-0-0100%
1.50u
Last 7 Days4-2-067%
2.33u
Last 30 Days18-9-067%
11.14u
All Time686-550-3454%
127.40u
Top Leagues
MLB276-228-2552%
50.64u
NCAAB166-118-657%
46.85u
NCAAF77-51-060%
26.05u
NBA72-62-153%
10.54u
ATP32-26-253%
2.26u
WTA1-0-0100%
1.50u
NFL62-65-049%
-10.43u