Camping World 400 Pick: The NASCAR Bet to Make for Chicagoland Speedway


Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: NASCAR Cup Series driver Austin Dillon (3) and Chase Elliott (9)

Jun 25, 2019, 12:48 PM EDT
  • The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series visits Chicagoland Speedway for Sunday's Camping World 400 (3 p.m. ET, NBCSN).
  • Based on data from similar racetracks, here's the bet to make right now.

Prior to the season the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) introduced a new aero package designed to encourage more passing and make the racing more exciting.

Because of this, much of the historical data NASCAR bettors typically use to identify value became much less predictive, which therefore made betting on this year’s early-season races more challenging.

However, now that we’re entering the dog days of summer, there is finally a decent sample of races to analyze from this season that can help us project which drivers will perform well (and poorly) going forward.

In fact, this weekend’s Camping World 400 will take place at Chicagoland Speedway, a 1.5-mile racetrack. Why is this important?

The MENCS has already visited five 1.5-mile tracks (Atlanta, Las Vegas, Texas, Kansas and Charlotte), giving us a nice base of data to analyze.

And after looking at the results from those five races, one head-to-head driver matchup is already popping as one being grossly mispriced by oddsmakers.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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