NASCAR Props Challenge Picks for Sunday’s Camping World 400 at Chicagoland Speedway

Credit:

Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: NASCAR Cup Series driver Kyle Busch (18) takes the checkered flag during the Overton’s 400 at Chicagoland Speedway,

Jun 25, 2019, 11:18 AM EDT
  • NASCAR's Props Challenge game asks fans to answer 10 prop-betting questions each week, with weekly winners eligible for prizes.
  • PJ Walsh offers his Props Challenge picks and analysis for Sunday's Camping World 400 (3 p.m. ET, NBCSN) at Chicagoland Speedway.

Unlike recent weeks in which the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) visited unique tracks like Pocono, Michigan and Sonoma, we should have a solid amount of data to help make our Props Challenge selections this weekend.

For the first time since the Coca-Cola 600 in May, the MENCS heads to a 1.5-mile racetrack for Sunday’s Camping World 400 at Chicagoland Speedway.

To make my NASCAR Props Challenge picks this week, I’ll be leaning heavily on performance from the five previous races run at 1.5-mile tracks (Atlanta, Las Vegas, Texas, Kansas and Charlotte), as well as historical race trends from Chicagoland Speedway.

1. Will a different driver win Stage 1, Stage 2 and the race? Yes or No?

There have been only two MENCS races at Chicagoland since stage racing was introduced, so there’s not much of a sample of data here to analyze.

As a result, I’m going with my gut and will say that Sunday’s race follows last year’s with different drivers winning Stage 1, Stage 2 and the race.

Pick: Yes


2. O/U 17.5 lead changes?

This average is skewed by 24 lead changes in last year’s MENCS race at Chicagoland, while the previous three races finished with 12, 17 and 17, respectively.

Pick: Under


3. Will Sunday’s winner start inside the top five?

Over the last 10 Cup races at Chicagoland, the winner has started inside the top five just once — 2017 race winner Martin Truex Jr. started third.

Pick: No


4. O/U 35.5 race points for Kyle Larson?

In last year’s race, six drivers scored at least 36 race points, including Larson who finished with a race-high 52 points.