The Golden State Warriors (33-38) and Dallas Mavericks (23-48) will square off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 9:30 p.m. ET from the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. The game will broadcast live on Peacock.
The Warriors are 2.5-point favorites over the Mavericks on the spread (Warriors -2.5), with the over/under set at 230.5 total points. Golden State is a -125 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Dallas is +105 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Warriors vs. Mavericks predictions and NBA picks for Monday, March 23.
Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction, Pick
- Warriors vs Mavericks pick: Max Christie Over 10.5 Points (-125)
My Mavericks vs Warriors best bet is on Max Christie to score 11+ points, with the best price currently available at DraftKings. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Warriors vs Mavericks Odds
| Warriors Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 +100 | 230.5 -115o / -105u | -125 |
| Mavericks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -120 | 230.5 -115o / -105u | +105 |
Warriors vs Mavericks NBA Preview
My pick for tonight's game between the Warriors and Mavericks is on Max Christie to score over 10.5 points.
This is one of those situations where I think last game's result is throwing off the projection in the prop market.
Christie only played 23 minutes in his latest outing, and it was a game where the Mavericks started to get some of their guys back.
The oddsmakers appear to be baking in a projection closer to 25 minutes, but I believe his minutes were simply cut short last game due to foul trouble and he’ll be back up around 30 minutes tonight — which is pretty standard for him.
Warriors vs Mavericks Predictions, Betting Analysis
Even with players returning for the Mavericks, Christie has been living in the 15-minute range.
He doesn’t have a massive ceiling, but if you look at his recent games, he's scored totals of 13, 14, 11, 12, 13, 12, 12, and 13 points.
So, he’s consistently hovering right over this number. He isn't blowing past the line on a regular basis, but he is clearing it more often than not.
Tonight, Christie and the Mavericks will face a depleted Warriors team that isn't playing particularly well — but they do operate at a decent pace, which helps our case when it comes to Christie's points prop.
Action PRO is projecting 12.6 points for Christie in tonight's game.
Pick: Max Christie Over 10.5 Points (-125)
