The Miami Heat (22-21) and Sacramento Kings (12-31) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. ET from the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California. The game will broadcast live on FDSSUN.
The Heat are 3.5-point favorites over the Kings on the spread (Heat -3.5), with the over/under set at 238 total points. Miami is a -160 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Sacramento is +135 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Heat vs. Kings predictions and NBA picks for Tuesday, January 20.
Heat vs Kings Prediction, Picks
- Heat vs Kings pick: Heat Moneyline (-160)
My Heat vs Kings best bet is on Miami moneyline, with the best price currently available at bet365. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Heat vs Kings Odds
| Heat Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -110 | 238 -110o / -110u | -160 |
| Kings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -110 | 238 -110o / -110u | +135 |
Heat vs Kings NBA Preview
This NBA system identifies regular-season matchups where efficient but undervalued teams face opponents with poor defensive metrics, such as the Heat entering tonight's game against the Kings.
When a team's underlying performance indicators, such as Pythagorean strength, exceed public perception, the betting market often undervalues them against weak defensive opponents that allow high scoring efficiency — which appears to be the case for the Heat in this spot.
These games typically feature modest moneylines that signal balance, but overlook the defensive mismatch.
Slight movement toward the undervalued side reinforces that bettors are slowly recognizing the edge, yet the market remains mispriced.
Over recent seasons, this pattern has rewarded teams whose true performance levels are masked by variance, while exploiting opponents that consistently fail to contain efficient offenses, creating a steady moneyline opportunity.
Overall, the system stands at 313-220-0 (59%) with a 4% ROI across all-time results. This season, it's off to a 34-20-0 (63%) start, producing a 15% ROI.
So, let's take the Heat to win outright on the moneyline on Tuesday night.
Heat vs Kings Best Bet
- Heat Moneyline (-160)
