The Minnesota Timberwolves (40-26) and Golden State Warriors (32-33) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. ET from the Chase Center in San Francisco, California. The game will broadcast live on Amazon Prime Video.
The Timberwolves are 5.5-point favorites over the Warriors on the spread (Timberwolves -5.5), with the over/under set at 224 total points. Minnesota is a -225 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Golden State is +185 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into our Timberwolves vs. Warriors predictions and NBA picks for Friday, March 13.
Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction, Pick
- Timberwolves vs Warriors pick: Timberwolves -5.5 (-110)
Our Warriors vs. Timberwolves best bet is on Minnesota to cover the spread. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Timberwolves vs Warriors Odds
| Timberwolves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-5.5 -110 | 224 -110o / -110u | -225 |
| Warriors Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+5.5 -110 | 224 -110o / -110u | +185 |
Timberwolves vs Warriors NBA Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors will clash at the Chase Center tonight in a Western Conference matchup between two teams trying to halt losing streaks.
Golden State enters the game at 32-33 and has slipped below the .500 mark for the first time since Dec. 20.
The Warriors have also dropped three straight home games and will try to reverse that trend against a Minnesota team that has had the upper hand in this season’s series.
Golden State has been competitive offensively, averaging 115.2 points per game while shooting 45.9% from the field, but defensive lapses have kept them hovering around the play-in picture in the West.
Minnesota comes in with a 40-25 record, currently sitting sixth in the conference. The Timberwolves have also lost three consecutive games, including back-to-back road defeats against the Lakers and Clippers.
Even so, Minnesota has consistently produced offense this season, averaging 118.4 points per game, a number that exceeds the 114.2 points Golden State typically allows.
The Timberwolves controlled the most recent meeting between the teams, earning a convincing 108-83 victory on Jan. 27.
Julius Randle led the way in that game with 18 points as Minnesota’s defense limited Golden State’s offense throughout the night.
Several players on both sides have been producing lately.
For the Warriors, Gui Santos has been a steady contributor, scoring in double figures in 16 of his last 18 games and averaging 14.8 points during that span.
Moses Moody and De'Anthony Melton have also provided scoring support, while trade acquisition Kristaps Porzingis recently turned in his best performance since joining the team with 17 points and four blocks.
Minnesota continues to lean on superstar Anthony Edwards. He has scored at least 30 points in three of his six games this month, including a 41-point outing against Memphis.
Timberwolves vs Warriors Predictions, Betting Analysis
The case for Minnesota in this spot fits well within our Bet Labs system titled “Bet Struggling Favorites."
This system looks for value in conference matchups where a stronger team has gone through a brief downturn but remains favored by the market.
When sportsbooks continue to price that team as the favorite despite recent losses, it often signals that the underlying metrics and long-term performance still support the team’s quality.
That situation appears to apply to Minnesota here. The Timberwolves have dropped three straight games, which can create hesitation among bettors focusing only on recent results.
However, their overall profile: a 40-win season, a more efficient offense than Golden State, and a decisive win in the most recent head-to-head meeting, all suggests they remain the superior team in this matchup.
Conference familiarity also helps reduce unpredictability, and the spread sitting in the mid-range indicates the market still trusts Minnesota’s baseline level of play.
When strong teams hit a rough patch, those moments can create buy-low opportunities before regression swings back in their favor.
With the Warriors struggling at home and Minnesota still holding the stronger overall resume, the value lies with the road favorite to bounce back.
Pick: Timberwolves -5.5 (-110)
