Wednesday’s NBA Injury Report: Betting, DFS Impact of Mike Conley, Jusuf Nurkic, CJ McCollum Injuries
Photo credit: Tom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jusuf Nurkic
- The NBA Injury Report details the slate's key injuries and their betting and DFS impact.
- In this piece, we'll break down the impact of the injuries to Mike Conley, Jusuf Nurkic, CJ McCollum and more.
Wednesday’s NBA slate features five games with several injuries and questionable players. We’ll analyze two situations:
- Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies: 8 p.m. ET
- Portland Trail Blazers at Chicago Bulls: 8 p.m. ET
Injuries: Mike Conley (thigh) is questionable. Joakim Noah (knee), Kyle Anderson, Avery Bradley, Dillon Brooks, Jaren Jackson Jr. and C.J. Miles are out.
Injury background: Conley missed Monday’s game due to a sore left thigh. He went through shootaround that morning. He missed two other games this month for general soreness.
Tonight’s impact: When Conley has been off the court since the All-Star break, the Grizzlies have compiled a -0.7 Net Rating, per NBA.com stats. When the injured players — Conley included — and those no longer on the roster have been off the court this season, the Grizzlies have cultivated a +3.5 Net Rating, per Cleaning the Glass, in 249 possessions.
Jonas Valanciunas has been featured heavily for the depleted Grizzlies, and he’s averaged a team-high +1.51 DraftKings Plus/Minus with the same lineup restrictions above, per the NBA On/Off tool. Tyler Dorsey has started with Conley unavailable, and in the last two games Conley missed he averaged 44.88 DraftKings points in 40.5 minutes per game.
Delon Wright has also received a larger role in Conley’s absence, leading the Grizzlies with a 36.1% assist rate when Conley and Noah haven’t played. Wright and Dorsey have been the primary initiators in those minutes, and both will be premier value plays on DraftKings if Conley is unavailable. Wright is currently the fifth-most expensive shooting guard on FanDuel at $6,200 — his highest salary this season.
Minutes for Valanciunas, Dorsey, Wright and Justin Holiday should be stable. Chandler Parsons and Bruno Caboclo have been competing for the same minutes, and Ivan Rabb has rounded out the main rotation with Noah out.
The Grizzlies have wins over the Rockets, Jazz, Blazers and Thunder since the All-Star break. They were blitzed by the Hawks, but every other game has remained competitive. The likeliest outcome tonight, however, is a blowout loss, as the Warriors are expected to have all their players available.