NBA Injury Report: Betting, DFS Impact of Draymond Green, Avery Bradley Absences
- The NBA Injury Report is a daily piece that runs through the slate's key injuries and their betting and DFS impact.
- There are two key injuries to analyze on Thursday night: Warriors PF Draymond Green and Clippers SG Avery Bradley.
There are only four games tonight, but they include some potentially great ones. We’ve got two key injuries to analyze this evening, as the Warriors’ Draymond Green and the Clippers’ Avery Bradley have both been ruled out.
Warriors PF Draymond Green (toe) is out.
Injury background: Green missed the second half of Monday’s win with what was originally diagnosed as a foot injury. The injury has since been clarified as a sprained right toe, and Green will miss Thursday’s nationally televised game against the Bucks.
Coach Steve Kerr added, “It’s just day to day. No concern long term. So we’ll just monitor it each day, and we’re so early in the season, obviously we’ll be cautious. We’ll see how it plays out.”
Impact with Green out: When it comes to replacing Green’s minutes at power forward, where he’s accumulated roughly two-thirds of his minutes this season (per Cleaning the Glass), Kerr mentioned several options: “Jordan Bell will play more. We can play Alfonzo [McKinnie] at the 4, play Andre [Iguodala] at the 4, Jonas [Jerebko] has already given us good minutes at the 4. We’ve got options, so we’ll be fine.”
Starting center Damian Jones hasn’t played more than 16 minutes in any of the past seven games, as foul trouble (6.7 fouls per 36) and Kerr’s reliance on Green and Kevon Looney at center has shrunk Jones’ playing time.
Whether Green has been on or off the court, the Warriors’ Net Rating has been at least +12.3. And when he’s been on the bench this season, Stephen Curry has averaged a ridiculous 1.75 DraftKings points per minute, combined with a +9.4% usage rate differential.
Guards have dominated Milwaukee this season despite the Bucks’ third-ranked defense. Their defensive scheme prioritizes walling off the paint at the cost of allowing a league-high 38.4 three-point attempts per game.
Clippers SG Avery Bradley (ankle) is out.
Injury background: Bradley has been ruled out for the second straight game due to a sprained left ankle, and Luc Mbah a Moute won’t play for the seventh consecutive game as he nurses a sore knee.
Impact with Bradley out: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander started in Bradley’s absence on Monday and supplied 21.1 FanDuel points in 25 minutes.
Marcin Gortat received his second straight DNP-CD, as Boban Marjanovic started the last two games and has averaged 31.10 DraftKings points per game over the last three.
Patrick Beverley played a season-high 39 minutes sans Bradley in the backcourt rotation, which included Lou Williams and Milos Teodosic off the bench. Beverley costs $3,800 on DraftKings and could be the value play at guard should he broach 40 minutes again.
When Bradley and Mbah a Moute have been off the court, the Clippers have excelled with a +11.8 Net Rating and 125.0 Offensive Rating. Williams has attempted 51% of his shots in the mid-range, where the Blazers typically funnel the opposition.
Williams has averaged 1.41 DraftKings points per minute as the primary scoring force off the bench when Bradley and Mbah a Moute have been off the court, and his shot profile should allow him to excel against the Blazers. He’s exceeded salary-based expectations in six straight games and ranked fourth in the NBA over that span with a 33.0% usage rate.