NBA Player Props & Picks: Back Thompson, Doncic in Game 3 (May 22)

NBA Player Props & Picks: Back Thompson, Doncic in Game 3 (May 22) article feature image
Credit:

Photo by Jim Poorten/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Klay Thompson.

  • With the Western Conference Finals shifting to Dallas, our props analyst is eyeing a pair of player prop overs.
  • He is looking to back Klay Thompson and Luka Doncic in Game 3.
  • Check out his analysis and picks below.

The Golden State Warriors took care of business at home as they now change venues going to Dallas, where the Mavericks have been much better. The Mavericks are slight favorites in this pivotal Game 3 tonight. There are a couple props that stand out like great value plays, so let's check them out!

We'll be using the Action Labs Player Prop tool to compare our NBA projections to the props posted at a variety of sportsbooks. Below, I have laid out two prop bets that I'm playing, the case for each bet and the best books to find odds on those player props.

NBA Player Props & Picks

Klay Thompson, Over 18.5 Points (-120)

Mavericks vs. WarriorsMavericks -3.5
Time | TV9 p.m. ET | TNT
Best BookFanDuel

After a convincing Game 1 victory, the Warriors had to come from behind in Game 2, outscoring the Mavericks by 23 points in the second half to claim the 2-0 lead. This is a scary team when they are healthy.

It is impossible to look at our Props Tool without seeing Klay Thompson. His over bets are all over the board, so it is difficult to pick just one. We'll go with the points, but I'm also very interested in his over 2.5 3-pointers or adding his rebounds to his points prop. There are several ways to go with Thompson in this matchup.

Thompson has been the second-leading scorer for the Warriors, averaging 19.5 points per game during the playoffs. He has shot the ball better, especially in this series, as he is shooting 56.9% from the field. He is playing heavy minutes in competitive games and is not shy to look for his shot.

Our model has Thompson projected for 25.2 points tonight, which is well over this prop line. He has only scored 15 points in back-to-back games in this series, but he may be asked to do more as a road underdog and Andrew Wiggins questionable. Ride the Klay Thompson train tonight.

Win $50 if Luka Doncic Scores 1+ Point!

Sign up using code ACTIONNBA

Place a $5+ NBA entry

Live in 31 states!

Luka Doncic, Over 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (+100)

Mavericks vs. WarriorsMavericks -3.5
Time | TV9 p.m. ET | TNT
Best BookDraftKings

This is a familiar position for the Mavericks as they trailed 2-0 against the Suns in their last series and finished them off by winning four of the last five games. This team plays incredible at home and has won five of their six games in Dallas, with the only loss coming when Luka Doncic did not play against the Jazz.

Role players usually step up in home games for the Mavericks, but it is difficult to pick one because they have so many. Doncic continues to lead the team in points, rebounds, assists, and steals in the playoffs, just like he did in the regular season. The ball will be in his hands nearly every offensive possession.

Doncic led the league in Usage Rate during the regular season, and he is doing so in the playoffs as well. He also is tied with Ja Morant for most drives per game. Doncic has gone over this 17.5 rebounds and assists prop in every home playoff game this season, so getting this at even money feels like great value.

Our model has Doncic projected for 19 rebounds and assists tonight. He has averaged 19.3 rebounds and assists in his four home games in the playoffs. If you feel more strongly about his assists or his rebounds on their own, you can get both with some juice on DraftKings sportsbook. Don't fade Doncic tonight.

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.

Sportsbook Promos
See All
Legal Online Sports Betting

bet365 Promo Code TOPACTION: $150 Bonus or up to $1K Bet Insurance Available; $200 Live in NC for Thursday

Sean Treppedi
Mar 28, 2024 UTC