Prop bets can be a great way to get action on a game. Bookmakers don’t have to worry about taking a lot of action on them, so there isn’t as great an incentive to post a competitive line.
As a result, props can be some of the most exploitable bets on the board.
These props can become downright unfair when you combine them with the FantasyLabs Player Prop tool.
Tuesday’s best NBA props come from all three of today's contests:
- Detroit Pistons vs. Philadelphia 76ers — 7 p.m. ET on NBATV
- New Orleans Pelicans vs. Los Angeles Clippers — 8 p.m. ET
- Denver Nuggets vs. Sacramento Kings — 9 p.m. ET
Let’s dive right in.
All odds as of 2 p.m. ET.
76ers PG Markelle Fultz
The Pick: Over 10.0 points (-115)
The 76ers are likely going to be shorthanded on today's slate, with starting PG Ben Simmons currently listed as doubtful.
Fultz has seen a usage bump of +3.4% with Simmons off the floor this season and could see a few additional minutes in today’s contest.
The Pistons have been strong defensively to start the season, but one of their weaknesses is at point guard: Reggie Jackson ranked just 59th out of 83 qualifiers in terms of Defensive Real Plus/Minus last season.
Fultz scored only eight points last game after Simmons left early, so I don’t think this prop has a ton of wiggle room. It stops looking like a value around -135.
Pelicans SF/PF Nikola Mirotic
The Pick: Over 7.5 rebounds (-125)
Mirotic seems to have found a home in New Orleans, averaging 30.5 minutes per game to start the season. That would represent a career-high, and he’s rewarded the coaching staff with 33.0 points and 9.5 rebounds through his first two contests.
He should continue to see big minutes for the Pelicans, who have played at the fourth-fastest pace in the league this season. A fast pace equals a lot of shot attempts, so it’s not surprising that Mirotic has ripped down at least nine boards in both games this season.
This is one of just three props with a Bet Quality of 10 in the FantasyLabs Player Prop tool, and I’d play it up to -150.
Nuggets SG Gary Harris
The Pick: Over 19.5 points (-125)
The Nuggets are going to be without Will Barton for the foreseeable future, and Harris should be one of the primary beneficiaries. He posted 28 points in his first game this season without Barton and scored 36 points in the only game Barton missed last season.
Harris also has one of the best matchups possible against the Sacramento Kings, who have played at the fastest pace and allowed the fourth-most points per 100 possessions to begin the season.
The Nuggets are implied for a whopping 119.8 points, and Harris should be a massive part of their offense.
I’m buying Harris in bulk with Barton out of the lineup, in both fantasy and the prop market. I’d play this prop up to -180 at the current number and as high as 21.5 points.
