Pelicans-Lakers Betting Guide: Time to Buy Low on the Lakers?

Dec 22, 2018 08:45 PM EST

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Los Angeles Lakers small forward LeBron James

Betting odds: New Orleans Pelicans at Los Angeles Lakers

  • Spread: Lakers -5.5
  • Over/Under: 233.5
  • Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN

>> All odds as of 9 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NBA odds and track your bets

LeBron James and the Lakers have lost three of four but are favored tonight at home against the Pelicans. Can they cover the big number? Will Anthony Davis suit up tonight? Our analysts dive in to tonight’s matchup.

Injury Notes

  • New Orleans Pelicans: Nikola Mirotic (ankle) is doubtful. Anthony Davis (illness) and Ian Clark (ankle) are questionable. Julius Randle (ankle) is expected to play.
  • Los Angeles Lakers: LeBron James (illness), Tyson Chandler (illness), Rajon Rondo (hand), Brandon Ingram (ankle) and Ivica Zubac (illness) are available to play. JaVale McGee (illness) is out.

Betting Trends to Know

The Pelicans are averaging 116.7 points per game (second in the league), and the Lakers are scoring 113.3 points (ninth). Since 2005, when two teams scoring 110 or more points play, the over has gone 81-105-5 (43.5%). — John Ewing

To follow up on John’s trend above, when the over/under is set at 230 or higher, the over drops to 27-40-2 ATS (40.3%), going under the total by 5.8 PPG.

The Lakers are coming off a four-game road trip during which they dropped their last two games against the Nets and Wizards before returning home.

Through 31 games with LeBron James, the Lakers are 18-13 and right around the 4-seed in the West. Since 2005, teams over .500 that are returning home off at least a four-game road trip and dropped at least their last two games have gone just 16-24 ATS (40%) over the last five years, failing to cover the spread by 4.1 PPG.

When that home team has faced a conference opponent in that spot, they’ve gone just 8-15 ATS (34.8%) in that span. — Evan Abrams

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