PropBetGuy’s Sunday NBA Player Prop: Why Chris Paul Should Shine in Game 1 vs. Pelicans

PropBetGuy will break down some of his favorite NBA plays of the day here, and will track all his bets in The Action Network app.

Chris Paul PRAs

The Suns have been on a mission to avenge their NBA Finals loss from last season. By locking up the Western Conference’s top seed with the league’s best record, they’ve checked off their first objective.

Chris Paul has been at the forefront of the Suns' regular season dominance. The point guard averaged 29.9 PRA over the course of the season. In his last 15 games playing at least 32 minutes, Paul eclipsed this line 13 times. And, he pushed past this number on both occasions versus the Pelicans.

Speaking of the Pelicans, while they’ve been better defensively, they are likely to struggle with Paul. Devin Booker will presumably get the Herb Jones matchup, which should leave CP3 with CJ McCollum, who is very beatable.

The Pelicans have struggled this season against pick-and-roll ball handlers, allowing the seventh-most points per game against this play type. Paul’s midrange game should serve as the perfect counterpunch to New Orleans' dropped paint coverage. Plus, the Pels have allowed the seventh-most assists per game after the All-Star Break.

I have the Point God projected at 34 PRA tonight.

The Pick: Chris Paul Over 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115 at DraftKings) | Playable Up To 31.5.

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