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PropBetGuy's NBA Player Prop: Back Luka Doncic ImageNBA

PropBetGuy's NBA Player Prop: Back Luka Doncic

Propbetguy
Apr 23, 2024 UTC
1
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Prop Bet Guy's Picks

Today
Abbott under in 3/4 this season, with his one over vs SEA at 6. Only 24 whiffs in 4 starts (no more than 7 in one game). 6 whiffs and 4 Ks in his first start vs PHI. PHI is average so far this season with a 22.9% K% vs lefties (15th) and the 17th highest CSW% overall. 6 of 9 lefty starters under vs PHI.
158
25
Surprised to see this line again. 38% usage rate in game 1. 33 points on 24 FGA, 9 potential assists. And lost 3-4 mins due to foul trouble in the 1H. His rotation is going to have him at 40+ minutes (he played 40+ in 4/5 playoff games last season), and his season average per 38 mins is 33.5 P+A. Will the Suns adjust? Yes. But they don’t have a good individual matchup for Edwards. And I highly doubt they double.
256
39
Now under in 4/5 games this season vs MIN - 14 PRA in 27 mins in game 1. And since JAN 8th, he’s under in 21/34 games with Beal/Booker/KD.
354
35
Pending
2-WAY PARLAY+107
1u
It’s a bit ridiculous how bad the Rockies have been at Coors Field this season: 28.9% K%, 60 wRC+ and .663 OPS. RH starters are collectively 47 IP, 34 H, 9 R, 58 K, 1.53 ERA. 7/9 starters have 5+ Ks. King has good stuff: 61st percentile whiff rate, 65th percentile K%. Rodriguez is 3/4 on this line, with 27 Ks in 24 IP. 9 Ks vs LAA earlier this season - Angels have leveled out at around a 23% K% vs righties. Rodriguez, being an above average K pitcher (75th percentile in whiff%) should have no issue reaching 6 Ks in 5 IP.
M.King o4.5 Ks-240
SD
SD Team Abbreviation@COL Team Abbreviation
COL
04/24 12:40 AM
126
26
Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/propbetguy-nba-player-prop-bet-luka-doncic-mavericks-vs-clippers-game-2-tuesday-april-23
187
23
2-WAY PARLAY+116
1u
Run it back again…
80
25
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