Prop Bet Guy's Picks
Today
T.Glasnow u16.5 Outs-119
TB
@
BOS
1.19u
11:10 PM
Glasnow has hardly pitched in 2 seasons, and the Rays being as overprotective over innings and workload as any team, it’s hard to envision a world where they push Glasnow. As good as he can be, he’s extremely inefficient with his pitches (usually 4+ per PA) and I expect as much vs BOS as he’s still shaking off rust. Red Sox will make him work - 7th highest pitches per PA (3.96), and the 8th lowest chase rate, which should help them significantly vs Glasnow’s slider. Offense hasn’t been great, but they’ve shown up well vs premier pitchers, esp at home.
23
Pending
2-WAY PARLAY+105
1u
Webb over this line in 9/11, incl 5/5 at home. BAL is tougher - only a 21.2% K% vs RHP over the L2 weeks, but that’s enough for Webb (implies he’d need 23 batters faced - he’s faced at least 22 in each game). But Webb is a better than average opp for BAL.
Oops have 3+ runs in 9/11 of Kremer’s starts, despite performing his xERA of 6.46 (ERA is 4.58). Hard hit rate of 49%, with a well below average ground ball rate. SFG has been relatively average vs RHP over the L2 weeks (101 wRC+), but they do have the 6th highest hard contact rate.
L.Webb o4.5 Ks-190
BAL
@
SF
06/03 2:15 AM
SF o2.5-295
BAL
@SF
06/03 2:15 AM
21
Futures
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 5-2-0 | 71% | 4.12u |
| Last 7 Days | 19-22-0 | 46% | -4.36u |
| Last 30 Days | 95-96-3 | 49% | -5.30u |
| All Time | 1191-1074-16 | 52% | 16.84u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAB | 190-128-2 | 59% | 40.51u |
| NFL | 167-124-1 | 57% | 31.36u |
| NCAAF | 14-15-1 | 47% | -3.27u |
| NBA | 458-420-4 | 52% | -4.92u |
| MLB | 362-387-8 | 48% | -46.84u |
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