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PropBetGuy’s Thursday NBA Player Props: Tobias Harris Seeing Downturn in Production, Usage

PropBetGuy’s Thursday NBA Player Props: Tobias Harris Seeing Downturn in Production, Usage article feature image
Credit:

Ned Dishman/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Tobias Harris.

PropBetGuy will break down some of his favorite NBA plays of the day here, and will track all his bets in The Action Network app.

Tobias Harris PRAs

Prop Under 23.5 PRAs
Matchup Nets at 76ers
Time 7:30 p.m. ET
Books Available DraftKings

While the initial results of the James Harden trade have been overwhelmingly positive for the 76ers, there is one player who has seen an overwhelming downturn in his production, and that’s Harris.

In five games with Harden thus far, the veteran forward is averaging 17.6 PRA, and has failed to eclipse tonight’s line of 23.5 in every game.

The pick-and-roll oriented offense has left Harris as a jump shooter, and that’s not an area where he’s excelled this season. The Tennessee product is only shooting 40% on his jump shots this season, a mark below league average. In fact, 22 of the 54 shots he’s taken (41%) have been 3-pointers, which is significantly higher than his average without Harden (22%).

And both his potential assists and rebound chances are both down significantly, as Harden and Embiid continue to dominate all counting stats for the Sixers.

While the Nets aren’t the most proficient team defense, it’s Harris who likely draws the more difficult individual matchup against Kevin Durant. As is, Harris has stayed under this line in two of three matchups against Brooklyn this season, and those were before the Harden trade.

I have Harris pegged at 20 PRA tonight.

Pick: Tobias Harris under 23.5 points + rebounds + assists -110. Under 17.5 points + assists and under 15.5 points also playable.

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