Suns vs. Kings Odds, Pick, Prediction | NBA Betting Preview

Suns vs. Kings Odds, Pick, Prediction | NBA Betting Preview article feature image

Barry Gossage/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: De’Aaron Fox #5 of the Sacramento Kings, Chris Paul #3 of the Phoenix Suns.

  • The Phoenix Suns face the Sacramento Kings in a key Pacific Division matchup on Friday.
  • The Suns are shorthanded on the road in this matchup and their slim hopes of winning the division are tied to this game.
  • Jim Turvey details the two bets he's targeting in Suns vs. Kings.

Suns vs. Kings Odds

Suns Odds+3.5
Kings Odds-3.5
Over/Under239.5 (-110/-110)
Time10 p.m. ET
TVNBA League Pass
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here.

The Phoenix Suns head to Sacramento to take on the division-leading Kings on Friday in a late-season showdown that could really wrap up the division for one team, or keep the door just barely ajar for the other.

The Kings currently hold a five-game lead in the Pacific Division, and with 10 games remaining, that's basically bullet proof. The Suns will have their last chance to make it competitive, though, as they could cut it to a four-game lead with a big win Friday.

It'll be an uphill battle for the Suns, who are without Kevin Durant and Deandre Ayton and are far more lacking in depth since their trade to acquire Durant. The Kings have nearly a clean bill of health, but with Kevin Huerter questionable, there's one player whose stats will pivot on Red Velvet's status.

Let's get into the matchup and talk betting predictions for Suns vs. Kings.

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Phoenix Suns

NBA depth is definitely one of those issues that seems to have an exponential rise factor. If a team is shallow, they can survive for a time, but if one guy goes out it hurts, and if a second guy is out it starts to be very noticeable.

These Suns are a perfect example. Since acquiring Durant, they are a perfect 3-0 when he plays, but they drop to 5-5 when they are without just KD. However, there are three games since the trade in which they were without Durant and another starter, and they are winless in those three games (0-1 without Durant and Booker; 0-2 without Durant and Ayton).

That's what they will be up against in Sacramento Friday night, and given that the Kings will also know that this is their chance to truly bury the Suns in the division and lock up a top three seed, I'm going to be looking at the possibility of a Kings' blowout.

Sacramento Kings

The cap for the Kings centers around Huerter. Not in terms of whether I want to be on the Kings side of this spread or not, but in regards to a player prop.

Keegan Murray has been by far the biggest beneficiary of Huerter being out of the lineup. In the six games Huerter has missed this season, Murray has put up the following number of 3-point attempts: 8, 11, 5, 10, 14, 10. That's an average of 9.7 3s per game, a massive jump from his season average of 5.9 3s per game in games in which Huerter also played.

It makes perfect sense. The Kings revolve around the dribble-handoff 3-pointer, and when Huerter is in the lineup, there are only so many of those opportunities from Murray. When's he's out, Murray can fully eat. As of writing, Huerter is questionable, but if he sits, look to Murray.

Suns-Kings Pick

For the spread, I am going to be looking to the alt lines, because as I noted before, I could see this one getting out of hand. Kings -10.5 is +245 at FanDuel. That's a quarter unit play for me.

For player props, I like Murray, but only if Huerter is officially not playing. Since the cap centers around Murray's increased 3-point attempts, I also like turning it into a same game parlay, with Murray over 12.5 points and over 2.5 3s currently sitting at +134 at FanDuel.

You may get a slightly worse price if Huerter is officially ruled out, but that's fine, Huerter being out is essential. If he is, this is a full unit play for me.

Pick: Kings Alt Spread -10.5 (+245)

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