The Toronto Raptors (26-19) and Sacramento Kings (12-32) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. ET from the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California. The game will broadcast live on NBCS-CA.
The Raptors are 4.5-point favorites over the Kings on the spread (Raptors -4.5), with the over/under set at 224.5 total points. Toronto is a -200 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Sacramento is +165 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Raptors vs. Kings predictions and NBA picks for Wednesday, January 21.
Raptors vs Kings Prediction, Picks
- Raptors vs Kings pick: Over 224.5 (-110)
My Kings vs. Raptors best bet is backing is on the Over at 224.5 total points, but make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Raptors vs Kings Odds
| Raptors Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4.5 -110 | 224.5 -110o / -110u | -200 |
| Kings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4.5 -110 | 224.5 -110o / -110u | +165 |
Raptors vs Kings NBA Preview
The NBA system titled "Contrarian Overs, Good Road Teams" is built on the idea that strong road teams can dictate pace and scoring in matchups where the market leans too heavily toward the under — which appears to be the situation in tonight's matchup between the Raptors and Kings.
By focusing on regular-season games outside of division play, the system avoids slower, rivalry-driven environments and targets contests that tend to be more open and less physical.
It specifically looks for overs when both public betting and money trends show a clear lean toward the under, creating a contrarian opportunity in spots where scoring expectations are suppressed despite favorable conditions.
The road team, such as the Raptors in this case, must be early enough in the season to still carry energy and identity, and it must also be coming off a decisive win, which signals that its offense and confidence are operating at a high level.
When these elements align, strong traveling teams often set the tone, push the pace and elevate scoring beyond market expectations, making the over attractive precisely when it's being overlooked.
Overall, the system stands at 830-715-12 (54%) with a 4% ROI across all-time results.
So, let's take the Over at 224.5 total points on Wednesday night.
Raptors vs Kings Best Bet
- Over 224.5 (-110)
