Warriors vs. Mavericks NBA Betting Trends: Game 4 ATS, Over/Under Results for Playoff Teams Trailing 0-3

Warriors vs. Mavericks NBA Betting Trends: Game 4 ATS, Over/Under Results for Playoff Teams Trailing 0-3 article feature image
Credit:

Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Steph Curry, Luka Doncic.

The Golden State Warriors own a 3-0 lead over the Dallas Mavericks in the Western Conference Finals entering Tuesday's Game 4.

We have plenty of betting angles that apply to this particular situation.

Although tonight is a do-or-die scenario for the Mavs, relying on the narrative that the trailing team "wants it more" hasn't necessarily paid off.

Teams down 0-3 in a playoff series are just 20-30-3 (40%) against the spread and 14-39 straight-up since 2005.

Oddly enough, teams trailing 0-3 in a postseason series are profitable in the first half, covering 52.8% of tries. Bettors uncomfortable playing Dallas on the full game spread — the Mavericks are one-point favorites Tuesday — could potentially veer to the first-half market.

The Warriors have lost against the spread in the first half in each of the last three sweep opportunities against conference opponents: 2022 vs. Denver, 2019 vs. Portland and 2018 vs. San Antonio.

The Mavericks outscore foes by 2.4 points in the first half this season, the seventh-best mark in basketball. Golden State, meanwhile, is +1.1.

Elsewhere, the total deserves some attention, too.

Since 2015, when the road team has a chance to sweep, the over is 16-8, cashing by 7.1 points per game. Tuesday's consensus number is 215.5 (you can shop around for the best price here).

After Dallas took three of four both straight-up and against the spread versus Golden State during the regular season, the Dubs have rattled off three straight covers.

Tuesday's Game 4 tips off at 9 p.m. ET.

The must-have app for NBA bettors

The best NBA betting scoreboard

Free picks from proven pros

Live win probabilities for your bets

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.

Sportsbook Promos
See All
Legal Online Sports Betting

Fanatics Sportsbook Promo Banks $1K, 10-Day Bet Match for MLB All-Star Game, Any Tuesday Events

Sean Treppedi
Jul 16, 2024 UTC