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The Golden State Warriors and Los Angeles Clippers will square off in the NBA preseason tonight. Tipoff is set for in 7:00 p.m. ET from Bankoh Arena at Stan Sheriff Center in Honolulu, Hawaii. The game will broadcast live on local channels and the ESPN App.
The Warriors are 3.5-point favorites over the Clippers on the spread, with the over/under set at 223.5 total points. Golden State is a -144 moneyline favorite to win outright, while Los Angeles is a +118 underdog to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Warriors vs. Clippers predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, October 4.
My Warriors vs Clippers Prediction
- Warriors vs Clippers pick: Under 223.5 (-110)
My Warriors vs. Clippers best bet is the total to stay Under 223.5 points, with the best price currently available at FanDuel. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
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Warriors vs Clippers Odds
| Warriors Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -104 | 223.5 -110o / -110u | -144 |
| Clippers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -118 | 223.5 -110o / -110u | +118 |
Warriors vs Clippers NBA Preseason Preview
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview: Surprisingly Sluggish Pace
The Warriors finished 10th in the Western Conference last season with a 37-45 record and operated at a surprisingly sluggish tempo. Golden State ranked 19th in pace (99.0) and 22nd in points scored per game (114.6).
Entering this neutral-site exhibition at the Stan Sheriff Center in Honolulu, Hawaii, the Warriors sit as -2.5 point favorites with a -135 moneyline.
Given their deliberate pacing and lackluster offensive metrics from last year, there isn't much foundational evidence to suggest the Warriors are poised to push the tempo and ignite a high-scoring track meet in their first preseason showing.
Los Angeles Clippers Betting Preview: Slow & Efficient Offense
The Clippers played an even slower brand of basketball than Golden State last year, grinding their way to a 9th-place finish in the West at 42-40. Los Angeles ranked 28th in pace (96.5) and 24th in points scored per game (113.8).
While they were highly efficient—ranking 11th in offensive rating (117.3)—the Clippers' overall game script relies on slowing the ball down and minimizing possessions.
The Clippers will be trotting out a bunch of different mixed rotations and depth pieces in Hawaii today. Without their primary offensive initiators logging many minutes (if any), an already plodding offense will likely struggle to find immediate cohesion and scoring punch.
Warriors vs Clippers Prediction, Betting Analysis
Even in a regular-season context, a matchup between two bottom-tier teams in pace strongly favors a low-scoring result.
When factoring in the wonkiness of the preseason environment, the case for the Under becomes pretty obvious in tandem with our Bet Labs system titled "Market Total System (Preseason)."
The system takes the Under when the full-game total is at least 204.5 and the public inflates the market by collectively siding with the Over.
According to our internal public bet tracking data, 68% of overall tickets and 70% of the early money is on Over 224.5.
Preseason scoring pace tends to lag behind full-game market expectations due to uncoordinated half-court sets, limited starter minutes, and heavy rotation testing.
With both teams already predisposed to playing slow, this game will likely lack both the pacing and the offensive continuity necessary to send it Over the 224.5 total.
Pick: Under 223.5 (-110)
Clippers vs Warriors Betting Trends
