Best NFL Player Props Today | Best NFL Prop Bets Today: First TD, Anytime TD Scorer Prediction Picks (Week 3)

Sunday's NFL slate is stacked from the early afternoon kickoffs all the way through Sunday Night Football, and the Polymarket board is just as busy.

Every Anytime TD Scorer Prediction and First TD Scorer Prediction market is running across all fourteen games, alongside yardage, passing, and turnover props tied to the week's biggest storylines.

Here is a full breakdown of the best NFL player props today, three tickets from every single matchup, built around live Polymarket contracts you can trade before kickoff.

Chargers vs Bills Prediction

Buffalo is 2-0 and playing like the best team in football, having opened Highmark Stadium's new home slate with a 41-31 win over Detroit that saw Josh Allen produce 317 total yards and five touchdowns.

Los Angeles is 0-2 after back-to-back double-digit home losses, a start so rare that it hasn't been matched by a team with a winning record the year before since the 1926 Racine Tornadoes, and this trip to Buffalo does not get any easier.

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Buffalo's tight end room is deep enough to make either first touchdown scorer prediction a coin flip. Dalton Kincaid has been the more consistent target through two weeks, while Dawson Knox is the bigger red zone body, and both anytime and first touchdown props on this duo are priced accordingly cheap for the payout.

The real trade here is Josh Allen's rushing floor. Allen has piled up 674 yards of total offense and nine touchdowns through two games while completing 66.7% of his passes, and Buffalo has leaned on his legs inside the ten all season.

Against a Chargers defense that has now allowed two double-digit losses at home, we're taking a position on Allen clearing 30 rushing yards again on Sunday.

The board has Allen's Yes contract priced at 56¢, meaning the market gives him a 56% implied probability of clearing the number.

On this ticket, a $100 buy at an average price of 56¢ works out to roughly 178.6 shares, each worth $1 if Allen's rushing total settles Yes.

• If Allen clears 30 rushing yards: profit of $173.26.
• If he falls short: the $100 stake is lost entirely, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.

That is a payout multiple of roughly 1.73x on a coin-flip trade, a reasonable risk-reward shape for a quarterback who has rushed for at least 30 yards in every game he's finished healthy this season.

Panthers vs Browns Prediction

Carolina has won two straight behind Bryce Young's best stretch as a pro, capped by a 34-3 blowout of Atlanta, and running back Chuba Hubbard has taken over the backfield now that Jonathon Brooks is on injured reserve after groin surgery.

Cleveland presents a real test, though, since the Browns play man coverage at the second-highest rate in the league and still have a shutdown corner in Denzel Ward on the outside.

With Brooks gone for the year, Hubbard is playing on essentially no snap restrictions and has scored in three straight games, which makes his 17¢ first touchdown price look like real value against a Browns run defense that's allowed the sixth-highest explosive run rate in the league.

Fannin, Cleveland's rookie tight end, has quietly emerged as Dillon Gabriel's most trusted red zone target, and his anytime touchdown number reflects a real role rather than a name attached to a market for volume's sake.

Young has feasted on zone coverage all season, but Cleveland's heavy man-coverage rate could push more of his production into the air rather than multiple scores, so the 43¢ price on multiple passing touchdowns looks fair rather than a clear buy.

Jets vs Lions Prediction

New York's defense has been the surprise of the young season, allowing the fewest total yards in the league, but Detroit's offense is a different animal than anything the Jets have faced so far.

Jared Goff threw for 327 yards and four touchdowns in Buffalo last week and still lost, because the Lions' defense is surrendering 35.5 points and 457.5 total yards per game, ranked 31st in the NFL.

St. Brown remains Detroit's clear number one target, and against a Jets secondary that has been stingy overall but hasn't faced a receiver of this caliber yet, the 15¢ first touchdown price is one of the sharper anytime-adjacent looks on the board.

Hall gets a plus matchup against a Jets front that has otherwise been excellent, and New York's own offense figures to be playing from behind often enough to feed him work in scoring position.

Goff has been sharp all season, but he's also been without a true shutdown corner across from him defensively, and this Jets pass rush generates enough pressure to make a turnover a real possibility even in a big statistical day.

Texans vs Colts Prediction

C.J. Stroud has thrown for 627 yards through two games, third-most in the league, but the Texans are 0-2 because he's also been pressured more than any other quarterback in football and top receiver Nico Collins is out with a hamstring injury.

Indianapolis has been even worse defensively, allowing 514.5 total yards per game, the most in the NFL, and 675 passing yards without forcing a single interception.

This is a rushing touchdown market for Stroud specifically, not a passing prop, and with Collins out he's shown a willingness to tuck the ball down in short-yardage situations, making the 12¢ price a longer-shot look at real value.

Schultz has stepped into a bigger role in Collins' absence, and against a Colts defense allowing the most total yardage in the league, 50 receiving yards is a very clearable number.

Taylor has historically struggled against a stout Jacksonville-style front, but Houston's defense is nowhere near that caliber, and Indianapolis's leading rusher should see plenty of goal-line volume in a game both offenses are expected to move the ball in.

Patriots vs Jaguars Prediction

Trevor Lawrence has been the MVP of Jacksonville's offense through two weeks, using his legs to escape pressure and pick up first downs on his own, and he'll see a New England defense that blitzes at a high rate.

Drake Maye has thrown four interceptions across his first two games, though the Patriots defense bailed him out last week with four sacks and a pick in a win over Pittsburgh.

Lawrence's rushing ability against a blitz-heavy defense is exactly the profile that produces scrambling touchdowns, and this anytime touchdown prop is a rushing-specific market that plays right into his current form.

Stevenson has been a reliable short-yardage option for New England all season, and the first touchdown price reflects the fact that this is a run-first Patriots offense that leans on him near the goal line.

Maye's early struggles have come through the air, but his legs have remained a weapon, and a defense geared to stop Jacksonville's passing attack could open up more scramble yardage than the market is pricing in at 54¢.

Chiefs vs Dolphins Prediction

Kansas City is one of eight unbeaten teams left in the league, and Patrick Mahomes just put together his best game in over a year, throwing for more than 380 yards and three touchdowns while Travis Kelce topped 100 receiving yards for the first time in nearly two seasons.

Miami is 0-2 with the league's 27th-ranked offense, zero sacks recorded on defense, and an inability to stop anyone on third down, making this look like the most lopsided matchup on Kansas City's schedule.

Kelce just posted his first 100-yard game in nearly two years, and 50 receiving yards against a Dolphins defense that's allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends is close to a coin flip priced fairly at 51¢.

This anytime touchdown market is a rushing-only prop for Mahomes, and it's a name-recognition long shot rather than a clear scheme fit, so it's the riskiest of the three tickets here.

Worthy's speed against a Miami defense with zero sacks and no answer for explosive plays makes his 10¢ first touchdown price one of the better longshot values on the entire slate.

Titans vs Giants Prediction

New York lost starting quarterback Jaxson Dart to a knee injury last week and will turn to a backup under center, which should mean an even heavier workload for running back Cam Skattebo against a Titans defense still finding its footing under a new coaching staff.

Tennessee is 0-2 and has yet to crack 21 points in a game, leaning on Tony Pollard to be the offense's steadiest source of production.

Pollard has been Tennessee's most consistent weapon through two games, and against a Giants run defense that's already shown it can be gashed on the ground, 50 rushing yards at 51¢ is a fair coin-flip price.

With Dart out and New York leaning on the run to steady its offense, Skattebo's workload should climb further, and the 47¢ price on any touchdown reflects a legitimate expectation of goal-line work.

Likely's first touchdown price is a true longshot look, priced as a name attached to a tight end room that hasn't been the focal point of Tennessee's offense so far this season.

Bengals vs Steelers Prediction

Cincinnati is 2-0 and going for its first AFC North sweep of the season on the road, with Joe Burrow coming off the injury report entirely after dealing with minor back soreness during the week.

Burrow did absorb five sacks against Houston last week, and Pittsburgh's defense has generated plenty of pressure of its own, which could keep this passing game grounded even with Ja'Marr Chase on the field.

Metcalf joined Pittsburgh this offseason after departing Seattle, and he's still building chemistry in a new offense, which explains why his anytime touchdown price sits at a modest 30¢ even in a divisional spot.

Burrow was sacked five times last week and dealt with back soreness in practice, and the No side on 250 passing yards is a reasonable hedge against a Pittsburgh pass rush that can make life difficult even for a healthy quarterback.

Chase remains Cincinnati's clear top target and has scored in bunches this season, making his 13¢ ticket one of the better value First TD Scorer Prediction looks in the early window.

Seahawks vs Commanders Prediction

Seattle is the reigning Super Bowl champion and off to a 2-0 start even though starter Sam Darnold has barely played, with backup Drew Lock throwing four touchdowns to Jaxon Smith-Njigba across two starts.

Washington is 0-2 and now without Jayden Daniels, who dislocated his elbow last week, leaving Marcus Mariota under center against a Seattle defense that has been one of the league's better units.

Smith-Njigba is second in the league in receiving yards and tied for first in receiving touchdowns, and he's caught 77% of his targets while commanding well over half of Seattle's air yards, making his 16¢ ticket a legitimate First TD Scorer Prediction rather than a name bet.

Kupp remains part of Seattle's rotation but has settled into a complementary role behind Smith-Njigba, which keeps his anytime touchdown price closer to a true longshot at 19¢.

Croskey-Merritt draws a difficult Seattle front for his rushing floor, though Washington's committed to feeding him touches regardless of the quarterback situation, which keeps 40 rushing yards close to a coin flip.

Cardinals vs 49ers Prediction

San Francisco is 2-0 and has scored touchdowns on nine of its first twelve possessions, with Brock Purdy putting together an elite start to the season across five passing touchdowns and a rushing score of his own.

Arizona is 1-1 after a blowout loss to Seattle, and the Cardinals' best path here is establishing rookie running back Jeremiyah Love against a 49ers run defense that's been vulnerable early in games.

Love scored on his third career carry in Week 1 and profiles as a real breakout candidate against San Francisco's early-game run defense issues, though the first touchdown market still treats him as a longshot at 8¢.

Evans is dealing with a hip injury from last week but is expected to play, and his anytime touchdown price at 40¢ reflects a legitimate red-zone role in an offense scoring at will.

Purdy has been one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the league to start the season, and 250 passing yards at 45¢ looks priced more toward San Francisco leaning on the run with a big lead than any real doubt about his form.

Vikings vs Buccaneers Prediction

Minnesota is 2-0 behind a defense that has already forced four takeaways, and quarterback Kyler Murray is back after clearing concussion protocol, giving the Vikings their full complement of weapons around All-Pro receiver Justin Jefferson.

Tampa Bay is still searching for its first win and has allowed a 75.4% completion rate to opposing quarterbacks, the second-worst mark in the league.

Irving remains Tampa Bay's clear lead back, and the first touchdown price at 13¢ reflects consistent goal-line usage even in an offense that's struggled to finish drives so far.

Jefferson is one of the league's premier receivers, and with Murray back to distribute the ball, his anytime touchdown price at 38¢ looks like fair value in what should be a competitive scoring environment.

Murray's legs have always been a weapon, and returning from concussion protocol to face a Buccaneers defense that struggles in coverage should open up scramble lanes, making 20 rushing yards a very ownable number at 56¢.

Raiders vs Saints Prediction

Las Vegas is 2-0 and tied atop the AFC West, though rookie running back Ashton Jeanty cooled off in Week 2 after a huge opener, managing just 48 rushing yards against the Chargers.

New Orleans is 1-1 and finally home after two difficult road trips, with Alvin Kamara making his 2026 debut last week and immediately outpacing Travis Etienne in touch share, 25.9% to 18.5%.

Jeanty remains the clear lead back in Las Vegas despite the quieter Week 2, and a bounce-back first touchdown at 15¢ is a reasonable price against a Saints defense that hasn't been tested much at home yet this season.

Kamara's immediate takeover of the lead role in New Orleans's backfield makes his 34¢ anytime touchdown price look like it's still catching up to his usage.

Shough's rushing floor as New Orleans's starting quarterback has been a quiet source of production, and 15 rushing yards at 51¢ is close to a coin flip against a Raiders defense that's allowed the lowest EPA per rush so far.

Ravens vs Cowboys Prediction

Baltimore and Dallas play the second international game of the 2026 season, this time in Rio de Janeiro, with the Ravens favored behind a two-time MVP in Lamar Jackson, who leads the league at 10.0 yards per attempt.

Dallas will be without four defenders for this trip, including two starting safeties, and has already allowed 173.5 rushing yards per game through two weeks, setting up a difficult day against Jackson and Derrick Henry together.

Lamb remains Dallas's top target even in a slower start to the season, and against a shorthanded Baltimore secondary, the 10¢ first touchdown price offers real longshot value.

Henry has 212 rushing yards on 40 carries already, third-most in the league, and against a Dallas run defense missing multiple starters, two or more touchdowns at 30¢ is a legitimate look at a dominant workhorse.

Jackson has rushed for 74 yards through two games and thrown for 559 with a league-leading yards-per-attempt mark, and a Cowboys front already down two safeties and a linebacker makes 40 rushing yards close to a coin flip at 51¢.

Rams vs Broncos Prediction

Sunday Night Football closes the slate with a game some are already calling a potential Super Bowl preview, as the Rams split carries between Kyren Williams and Blake Corum in a near-even 29.2% to 24% touch share.

Denver's own backfield situation has been murkier, with J.K. Dobbins sharing work behind an offensive line that's allowed the highest EPA per rush in the league so far.

Williams remains the slightly bigger share of the Rams committee, and his first touchdown price at 15¢ still reflects the better goal-line role of the two backs.

Dobbins's role in Denver has been described as a situation worth avoiding for fantasy purposes given the muddled backfield picture, so his 38¢ anytime touchdown price already reflects plenty of uncertainty about his workload.

Corum has climbed to nearly a quarter of the Rams' touch share, and against a Denver defense allowing the second-highest EPA per rush, 50 rushing yards at 47¢ is a very fair number for the complementary back in this timeshare.

That covers all fourteen games on Sunday's board, but Polymarket lists dozens more markets across every matchup beyond the three tickets we pulled here, so it's worth exploring the full slate before kickoff.

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Sunday's Best NFL Prop Bets Today: Final Thoughts

The through line across this slate is that every Anytime TD Scorer Prediction is cheapest when a player's role is genuinely uncertain, like Denver's backfield or Pittsburgh's newest receiver, and most expensive when a workhorse is locked into clear usage, like Chuba Hubbard or Cam Skattebo.

The rushing-yardage tickets on mobile quarterbacks, Josh Allen, Kyler Murray, and Lamar Jackson among them, stood out as some of the better-priced trades on the board given how consistently all three have hit their numbers so far this season.

For more context on how these markets are built and priced, Action Network's beginner's guide to Polymarket contracts and the full prediction markets hub are good places to keep exploring the best NFL prop bets today beyond this slate.

Polymarket Promo Code FAQs

What is the current Polymarket promo code?

The current Polymarket promo code is ACTION, which unlocks a $50 trading bonus with a $10 deposit for new users signing up through Action Network's link.

What are the best NFL player props today?

Across Sunday's fourteen-game slate, the best NFL player props today include Josh Allen's rushing floor against the Chargers, Ja'Marr Chase's first touchdown price against Pittsburgh, and Derrick Henry's multiple-touchdown ticket against a shorthanded Dallas front.

Which first TD scorer prediction has the best value today?

Value is relative to price, but Jeremiyah Love's 8¢ first touchdown scorer prediction against San Francisco and Isaiah Likely's 9¢ ticket against the Giants stand out as the longest shots with real payout upside on the board.

What is the safest anytime TD scorer prediction on the board?

Breece Hall's 46¢ anytime touchdown price against Detroit and Cam Skattebo's 47¢ price against Tennessee are the two closest to a coin flip among the anytime touchdown props covered here, reflecting workhorse roles in offenses expected to reach the end zone multiple times.

Where can I find the best NFL prop bets today beyond these fourteen games?

Polymarket runs markets on every NFL game each week, not just the matchups covered in this piece, so checking the sports tab directly on Polymarket before kickoff will surface additional player props, moneylines, and totals across the full Sunday schedule.

How do Polymarket contracts work?

Each contract resolves to $1 if the stated outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so the price paid per share reflects the market's implied probability, and profit is the difference between that price and the $1 settlement value multiplied by the number of shares purchased.

When do these NFL prop markets resolve?

Player prop and touchdown scorer markets resolve shortly after the final whistle of each respective game, once the official box score confirms the outcome.

Is the Josh Allen rushing yards trade a good Editor's Pick this week?

Allen has cleared 30 rushing yards in every game he's finished healthy this season, and the Chargers have allowed two double-digit home losses to open the year, which is why this ticket got the full breakdown in the Chargers vs Bills Prediction section above.