Falcons vs Saints Prediction: Kalshi Anytime TD Scorer Props Today (MNF Best Bets)

The Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints kick off Monday Night Football tonight at the Caesars Superdome, and Kalshi has a full touchdown scorer board built around it, both Anytime Touchdown and First Touchdown markets, covering every meaningful name on both offenses.

Bijan Robinson sits as the board's clear favorite, Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave both carry questionable tags that have nudged their prices down without knocking them out, and Michael Penix Jr. gets just his second start back from last year's ACL tear with Drake London and Kyle Pitts Sr. as his top targets. Tyler Shough adds a rushing angle for New Orleans that the market has quietly priced with real respect.

Below is a scannable breakdown of the Anytime TD and First TD prices available on Kalshi for seven of the most relevant names on tonight's board, followed by a full price read, payout math and resolution rules for each.

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Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Prediction

New Orleans (2-1) hosts Atlanta (1-2) in a division game with a short week of rest and a long shadow, tonight marks the 20th anniversary of the Superdome's post-Katrina reopening against this same opponent. Kamara and Olave both logged questionable tags (hip/ribs and hamstring) but were upgraded through the week and are considered likely to play, while Atlanta's injury report is clean outside of a couple of limited practice participants.

Penix gets his second start of the season after missing the opener while finishing his ACL recovery, and London, who averaged better than 10 targets and 86 yards a game with Penix on the field last season, is the obvious beneficiary if that connection resumes.

Best Anytime Touchdown Scorer – Bijan Robinson

At 63% (63¢) on Anytime, the board has Robinson shorter than every other player on either roster, and the number reads fair rather than rich. He has drawn 48 touches across Atlanta's first two games and projects for a heavy workload against a Saints front that has not consistently bottled up opposing backfields. On First TD he sits at 19% (19¢), the shortest price on that half of the board by a wide margin, reflecting how often Atlanta leans on him early to establish the run.

A $100 Anytime position at 63¢ buys roughly 159 shares, each worth $1 if he scores. A $100 First TD position at 19¢ buys roughly 526 shares. Exchange fees and order book depth mean the realized net on either position lands a little under that headline math.

• Anytime: if Robinson finds the end zone at any point, the trade resolves Yes and pays out $58.73 in profit on the $100 position.
• Anytime: if he doesn't score, the position resolves No and the full $100 is lost, since these contracts settle all-or-nothing.
• First TD: if Robinson scores the game's opening touchdown, the trade resolves Yes and pays out $426.32 in profit on the $100 position.
• First TD: if anyone else scores first, the position resolves No and the full $100 is lost, even if Robinson scores later in the game.

Roughly a 1.6x payout multiple on Anytime and a 5.3x multiple on First TD, both reasonable prices for the back the market trusts most on this field.

Best Workhorse Anytime Touchdown Scorer – Alvin Kamara

Kamara currently ranks among the league's rushing leaders and scored three touchdowns against Dallas two weeks ago, so 41% (41¢) on Anytime reads light even with the hip and rib designation attached, provided he suits up as expected. The 11% (11¢) First TD price is fairer, since Jamaal Williams and Taysom Hill both cut into his early-down work when the Saints script their opener.

A $100 Anytime buy at 41¢ works out to roughly 244 shares. A $100 First TD buy at 11¢ works out to roughly 909 shares. The questionable tag is the real variable here more than the matchup itself.

• Anytime: if Kamara scores, the trade resolves Yes and pays out $143.90 in profit on the $100 position.
• Anytime: if he doesn't, the position resolves No and the full $100 is lost, since these contracts settle all-or-nothing.
• First TD: if Kamara scores the game's opening touchdown, the trade resolves Yes and pays out $809.09 in profit on the $100 position.
• First TD: if anyone else scores first, the position resolves No and the full $100 is lost, even if Kamara scores later in the game.

Roughly a 2.4x payout multiple on Anytime and a 9.1x multiple on First TD, both of which compensate reasonably for an injury-report name who is expected to play.

Best Wide Receiver Anytime Touchdown Scorer – Chris Olave

Olave leads New Orleans in catches and yards through three weeks and has topped 80 receiving yards in back-to-back games, so his 41% (41¢) Anytime price sitting even with Kamara's says the market trusts the hamstring will hold up. The 10% (10¢) First TD number undersells how often Atlanta's defense has allowed an early connection over the middle.

A $100 Anytime buy at 41¢ works out to roughly 244 shares. A $100 First TD buy at 10¢ works out to an even 1,000 shares. Watch the final inactive list; a late scratch would move both prices fast.

• Anytime: if Olave scores, the trade resolves Yes and pays out $143.90 in profit on the $100 position.
• Anytime: if he doesn't, the position resolves No and the full $100 is lost, since these contracts settle all-or-nothing.
• First TD: if Olave scores the game's opening touchdown, the trade resolves Yes and pays out $900.00 in profit on the $100 position.
• First TD: if anyone else scores first, the position resolves No and the full $100 is lost, even if Olave scores later in the game.

Roughly a 2.4x payout multiple on Anytime and a 10x multiple on First TD, both priced around a receiver the hamstring tag hasn't meaningfully scared the market off of.

Best Red Zone Target Anytime Touchdown Scorer – Drake London

London has caught just six passes for 80 yards and no touchdowns through two games without Penix at quarterback, so the 39% (39¢) Anytime price is effectively a bet on the reunion rather than a read on his recent box score. Last year, with Penix throwing to him, London averaged more than 10 targets and 86 yards a game, and that history is why the number sits this close to Kamara and Olave despite the quiet start.

A $100 Anytime buy at 39¢ works out to roughly 256 shares. A $100 First TD buy at 9¢ works out to roughly 1,111 shares. This is a price built on last season's chemistry resuming, not on 2026 production to date.

• Anytime: if London scores, the trade resolves Yes and pays out $156.41 in profit on the $100 position.
• Anytime: if he doesn't, the position resolves No and the full $100 is lost, since these contracts settle all-or-nothing.
• First TD: if London scores the game's opening touchdown, the trade resolves Yes and pays out $1,011.11 in profit on the $100 position.
• First TD: if anyone else scores first, the position resolves No and the full $100 is lost, even if London scores later in the game.

Roughly a 1.6x payout multiple on Anytime and an 11x multiple on First TD, a fair price on upside that hinges entirely on quarterback continuity rather than current form.

Best Tight End Anytime Touchdown Scorer – Kyle Pitts Sr.

Pitts carried an elevated target share during London's absence earlier this season and has strung together a four-game stretch with multiple touchdowns mixed in, so 22% (22¢) reads at least fair for a tight end the Falcons already trust in scoring position. The 5% (5¢) First TD price is squarely a lottery ticket number, since Pitts is rarely first to the ball on scripted openers.

A $100 Anytime buy at 22¢ works out to roughly 455 shares. A $100 First TD buy at 5¢ works out to roughly 2,000 shares, the largest share count on this board.

• Anytime: if Pitts scores, the trade resolves Yes and pays out $354.55 in profit on the $100 position.
• Anytime: if he doesn't, the position resolves No and the full $100 is lost, since these contracts settle all-or-nothing.
• First TD: if Pitts scores the game's opening touchdown, the trade resolves Yes and pays out $1,900.00 in profit on the $100 position.
• First TD: if anyone else scores first, the position resolves No and the full $100 is lost, even if Pitts scores later in the game.

Roughly a 3.5x payout multiple on Anytime and a 20x multiple on First TD, a genuinely narrow path on the latter and a small-stake swing rather than a core position.

Best Quarterback Anytime Touchdown Scorer – Tyler Shough

Shough's touchdown price is a rushing bet only, since passing scores don't count toward this contract, and 24% (24¢) is a real number for a Saints quarterback who has already shown a willingness to pull the ball down near the goal line this season. The development arc the Saints are building around him makes the sneak or scramble package a live part of the red zone plan.

A $100 Anytime buy at 24¢ works out to roughly 417 shares. A $100 First TD buy at 6¢ works out to roughly 1,667 shares. Game script matters here more than for most names on this board; a Saints team playing from ahead calls fewer designed quarterback runs.

• Anytime: if Shough rushes for a touchdown, the trade resolves Yes and pays out $316.67 in profit on the $100 position.
• Anytime: if he doesn't, the position resolves No and the full $100 is lost, since these contracts settle all-or-nothing.
• First TD: if Shough scores the game's opening touchdown, the trade resolves Yes and pays out $1,566.67 in profit on the $100 position.
• First TD: if anyone else scores first, the position resolves No and the full $100 is lost, even if Shough scores later in the game.

Roughly a 3.2x payout multiple on Anytime and a 15.7x multiple on First TD, reasonable prices on a rushing quarterback whose touchdown equity is tied directly to game flow.

Best Longshot Anytime Touchdown Scorer – Kevin Austin Jr.

At 7% (7¢) on Anytime, the board treats Austin as a depth receiver who would need an injury or a big-play fluke to find paydirt, which is exactly what he is behind Olave, Vele and Kamara in the pass-catching pecking order. The 2% (2¢) First TD price is close to the bottom of the board and priced accordingly.

A $100 Anytime buy at 7¢ works out to roughly 1,429 shares. A $100 First TD buy at 2¢ works out to roughly 5,000 shares, the largest multiple on the entire board. A 13x-to-49x payout range like this is a function of a genuinely low probability, not free money, and belongs in a portfolio as a small-stake swing at best.

• Anytime: if Austin scores, the trade resolves Yes and pays out $1,328.57 in profit on the $100 position.
• Anytime: if he doesn't, the position resolves No and the full $100 is lost, since these contracts settle all-or-nothing.
• First TD: if Austin scores the game's opening touchdown, the trade resolves Yes and pays out $4,900.00 in profit on the $100 position.
• First TD: if anyone else scores first, the position resolves No and the full $100 is lost, even if Austin scores later in the game.

Roughly a 13.3x payout multiple on Anytime and a 49x multiple on First TD, a lottery-ticket price pair that only makes sense sized as pocket change.

Kalshi has additional touchdown scorer markets live on this matchup beyond the seven names featured above, including the full rosters on both sides and both teams' defense/special teams units.

How to Trade NFL Touchdown Predictions on Kalshi

Ready to take a position on tonight's NFL touchdown predictions? You can start trading these event contracts in minutes.

• Read a comprehensive Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
• Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
• Monitor the Touchdowns tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of live order book movements as kickoff approaches across the prediction markets hub.

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Disclaimer: Prediction markets provide real-time probability estimates based on traded contracts. These prices reflect market sentiment and are not a guarantee of future outcomes. Trading event contracts involves risk; ensure you understand the resolution criteria before taking a position.

NFL Touchdown Predictions Today: What's Moving the Market

The dominant theme on this board is a split between two kinds of risk: injury-report names like Kamara and Olave whose prices carry a discount for a designation rather than for matchup doubt, and a Falcons passing game whose pricing is really a bet on Penix's return rather than on anything London or Pitts have done in his absence.

Robinson's 63% Anytime price looks fair rather than soft given his workload share, while Pitts at 22% looks like the more interesting read on volume alone given his role during London's early-season absence.

Shough's rushing touchdown price stands out as a number the market has built with real conviction rather than as an afterthought, a sign the Saints' coaching staff is comfortable using him near the goal line.

Remember that lineup news, in-game injuries and weather at the Superdome's indoor field are non-issues, but a late inactive on either side can reprice this board fast before kickoff. Track it through the prediction market apps.

NFL Predictions: Final Thoughts

This board runs from a 63¢ favorite down to 2¢ longshots on First TD, and the spread captures the two stories of tonight's game: an Atlanta ground game the market trusts completely, and a New Orleans passing attack the market is pricing off recent injury news as much as talent.

Treat every contract here as an independent all-or-nothing position. None of these stack into a parlay, and sizing each one on its own merits, especially the First TD longshots, keeps this a reasonable board rather than an overexposed one.

NFL Predictions and Touchdown Bets: Kalshi Promo Code FAQs

What is the current Kalshi promo code and offer?

Sign up with the Kalshi promo code ACTION2000 to Get up to $2000 Bonus!

What are the best touchdown bets on tonight's Falcons-Saints board?

Bijan Robinson is the shortest Anytime price on the board at 63%, while Kyle Pitts Sr. and Tyler Shough offer the strongest blend of role and price value among the featured names.

Which player carries the highest implied probability of scoring?

Bijan Robinson, at 63% on the Anytime Touchdown market, is priced ahead of every other player on either roster.

How do Kalshi Anytime Touchdown contracts work and resolve?

A player's Anytime contract resolves Yes if he possesses and controls the ball while breaking the plane of the goal line at any point in the game; passing touchdowns do not count toward a non-quarterback's contract. If no touchdown is scored in the game, the No Touchdown Scorer contract resolves Yes and every player contract resolves No.

How does the First Touchdown market differ from Anytime?

A First Touchdown contract resolves Yes only if the named player scores the opening touchdown of the game by either team. A player who scores multiple touchdowns later but not the first one still resolves No on this contract, which is why First TD prices run far lower than Anytime prices for the same player.

How do I claim the promo and start trading?

Create a Kalshi account, enter the promo code during sign-up, complete identity verification where required, and fund your account to begin trading touchdown scorer contracts and other NFL markets.

When do these contracts settle?

Both markets settle shortly after the game ends, based on official NFL play-by-play and scoring data, paying $1.00 per contract on a Yes resolution and $0 on a No resolution.

Who is the Editor's Pick on this board, and why?

Bijan Robinson, because his price reflects a workload share no other player on this field can match, and the number has moved little across the week despite the surrounding injury news to other names.

Are more touchdown scorer markets available beyond the players featured here?

Yes. Kalshi lists Anytime and First TD contracts for every rostered player who has taken meaningful offensive snaps this season, including both teams' defense/special teams units, well beyond the seven names broken down above.