The Minnesota Vikings (2-1) and Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1) will face off in NFL Week 4. Kickoff is set for 9:30 a.m. ET from Croke Park in Dublin, Ireland. The game will broadcast live on NFL Network.
The Vikings are 2.5-point favorites over the Steelers on the spread (Vikings -2.5), with the over/under set at 41 total points. Minnesota is a -140 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Pittsburgh is +120 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Vikings vs. Steelers predictions and NFL picks for Sunday, September 28.
My Vikings vs Steelers Prediction
- Vikings vs Steelers pick: Vikings -2.5 (-115)
My Steelers vs. Vikings best bet is on Minnesota to cover the spread, with the best price currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Vikings vs Steelers Odds
| Vikings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -115 | 41 -110o / -110u | -140 |
| Steelers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -105 | 41 -110o / -110u | +120 |
Vikings vs. Steelers NFL Week 4 Preview
It's our first Sunday morning game of the year, and the first ever NFL regular season game in Ireland!
Aaron Rodgers faces an old rival in the Vikings. Meanwhile, Mike Tomlin and Vikings' defensive coordinator Brian Flores are plenty familiar with one another as well.
These teams should know what to expect from one another, and one of them will be a somewhat surprising 3-1 by Sunday afternoon.
The Vikings are finally getting healthy and might be a bit underrated because of their roster issues thus far.
Star left tackle Christian Darrisaw finally returned last week and made a huge impact immediately, practically erasing Trey Hendrickson.
It looks Ryan Kelly will be cleared from concussion protocol in time to play too.
Even without first-round guard Donovan Jackson, this is the best Minnesota offensive line in years.
The Vikings also got Harrison Smith back as the de facto quarterback of the defense, and don't forget Jordan Addison is back from suspension this week too.
These are not just any old names. Those four names together are probably worth two points to the spread, and they explain part of the reason why this line has shifted towards the Vikings.
A healthy Minnesota squad looks like a top-10 NFL team.
The Vikings are finally running well for the first time under Kevin O'Connell and may have backdoor lucked into a power run identity when Aaron Jones got hurt and left Jordan Mason in a bigger role.
Mason should have another big game against a beatable Steelers run defense this week.
The truth is that Pittsburgh's defense has been beatable all around. This is no Steel Curtain.
The Steelers have allowed at least 369 total yards in all three games this season, and that was against a trio of pretty uninspiring offenses: the Jets, Seahawks, and Patriots.
That's almost 400 yards a game to Justin Fields, Sam Darnold, and Drake Maye.
Pittsburgh allowed over 30 points in two of those games, and New England was wildly unlucky to get only 14 last week thanks to five turnovers; two of them right at the goal line.
The Steelers' defense has forced eight turnovers, second-most in the NFL. But those splash plays aren't always repeatable or predictive, and the constant bleeding of yards and chain-moving is.
Vikings vs Steelers Prediction, Betting Analysis
Minnesota's defense is by far the best unit on the field in this matchup, and the only reliable one right now.
The Vikings rank second in defensive DVOA, and you always know Flores' unit will bring the heat and pressure the quarterback.
That's an especially big problem against Aaron Rodgers, who is winless internationally in his career.
Rodgers ranks 35th of 36 qualified in PFF grade on the season, and he's dead last when under pressure; an ugly 6-of-22 for just 27% completion with two interceptions.
You can hardly blame him, but the old man just doesn't want to take a hit!
Excluding Jaguars games (because they play so regularly overseas), favorites in NFL international games are 26-11 ATS, covering 70% of the time.
Makes sense, right? Just bet the better team on a neutral field.
Is Carson Wentz really about to win three games in three countries in three weeks? Let's find out.
Pick: Vikings -2.5 (-115)
Spread
My Steelers vs. Vikings betting prediction is on Minnesota to cover the spread at -2.5.
Moneyline
I prefer to target the Steelers to cover the spread in this matchup as opposed to betting the moneyline.
Over/Under
I'm also staying away from the total in this contest.
