NFL interception props are one of my guilty pleasures. I especially like back-breaking interceptions that completely flip the momentum of the game.
I’m diving headfirst into the interception market to identify key spots each week to cash in on quarterback miscues.
It’s worth noting that I track all interception props from each quarterback (Yes and No) and it’s been a huge windfall for bettors who choose to only bet on “YES” when they are plus-money (+100 or higher). In 2023, had you bet on every quarterback that was plus-money to throw an interception, you would’ve gone 87-91 for +17.2U. This was after it went 81-75 for +25.5U in 2022.
Continue below for my NFL interception props for Week 2 and find out why Daniel Jones and Jared Goff are prone to throw at least one INT on Sunday.
NFL Props, Interceptions Week 2
- Daniel Jones to Throw an Interception (+120, via bet365)
- Jared Goff to Throw an Interception (+130, via bet365)
Daniel Jones to Throw an Interception (+120)
Arguably the biggest winner of Week 1 was Colts quarterback Daniel Jones, who played nearly a perfect game in dicing up the Dolphins.
However, the reckoning is likely coming for Danny Dimes in Week 2 because the Broncos are coming to Indianapolis to wreak havoc.
The Broncos defense looked like they picked up right where they left off in 2024 against the Titans in Week 1. The Broncos were No. 1 in pressure rate per dropback (an absurd 58%) and forced rookie QB Cam Ward into 42% on passing completions and six sacks.
Now, do I expect the Broncos to get pressure on over 50% of dropbacks again in Week 2? Of course not, but even if they fall back to their 2024 rate (27%, second in the NFL), that would still rank in the top five of 2025.
The Broncos defense is legit and was also first in sacks and top 10 in interceptions in 2024.
Another reason why I considered Jones in this spot is that he hasn’t shown in his career that he can handle defensive pressure. In each of the last three seasons as a starter with the Giants, his turnover-worthy-play rate nearly doubled when seeing pressure.
Another angle to ponder is Jones' pass attempts prop, which is currently at 30.5.
In seven starts in 2024, where he threw 30 or more times, he threw an interception in five of those games. Dating back to 2023, when he had 30 or more passing attempts (10 starts), he’s thrown an interception in eight of those games.
Jared Goff to Throw an Interception (+130)
I bet this in Week 1 and hit it easily — naturally, I'm going right back to Jared Goff to throw an interception in Week 2 vs the Bears. I
I’m already pot committed on Goff INTs this year as I bet him to have the “Most Interceptions” at 18-1; I have no issue doubling down in this spot.
In just the last three games we’ve seen Goff, it’s been a bit of turnover party. He threw two interceptions vs. the Vikings to close the 2024 season and then he followed it up with three interceptions in the playoff loss to the Commanders. In Week 1, he picked up right where he left off and got intercepted by the Packers.
I cannot stress enough that the Lions offense won’t be as efficient as they were in 2024. The loss of offensive coordinator Ben Johnson is bad enough, but now, Goff has to face a defense that likely knows all of his quirks and traits to figure him out. Couple that with the offensive line regression and this could be a multi-interception game.
The main reason why we're getting plus odds in this spot is because Goff was quite efficient at home last year, which has been the case for majority of his Lions tenure.
That being said, the Bears' defensive pressure is no joke; they ranked third in pressure rate per dropback while also having five passes defended (ranked ninth).
In Week 1, Goff had three turnover-worthy plays against the Packers, with two coming when he saw pressure. Historically, indoors or outdoors, Goff’s TWP rate nearly doubles when he sees pressure.
