Sunday Night Football in Week 16 features an exciting matchup between the New England Patriots and the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD.
- For more Sunday Night Football coverage, check out our Patriots vs. Ravens preview, which includes Stuckey's spread pick for SNF.
For my top Patriots vs. Ravens NFL PrizePicks and Underdog plays, I’m highlighting Derrick Henry, Rasheen Ali, and Lamar Jackson.
Derrick Henry
Less Than 9.5 Receiving Yards
The absence of Justice Hill has opened up some targets in the Ravens' backfield, but Derrick Henry has not been the back gaining usage. Since Hill went down, Henry has seen just five targets in four games, including last week, when he went target-less for the second time this season.
The Ravens are home favorites here, and their best path to victory is to control the game with their rushing attack. That means a ton of early down work for Henry, and him being spelled by the next guy we're targeting on passing downs.
Rasheen Ali
More Than 7.5 Receiving Yards
Second-year back Rasheen Ali has emerged as the pass-catching back over the past two weeks. Ali has hauled in four of five targets, averaging 12.2 yards per reception.
Ali's explosiveness out of the backfield has earned him a handful of snaps, and we should see his usage increase tonight. The Patriots have been hurt by pass-catching running backs this season, ranking 22nd in receiving yards allowed to them.
We likely only need one reception from Ali for him to surpass this mark, but given recent trends, we should hear his name multiple times tonight.
Lamar Jackson
More Than 31.5 Rushing Yards
Rounding out our trio of Ravens picks is quarterback Lamar Jackson. I mentioned above that the Patriots should be expecting a heavy dose of Derrick Henry on early downs, but they cannot forget about Lamar Jackson.
Jackson's rushing volume is down this season overall, but since returning from injury, we've seen him use his wheels to bring some explosive plays. Last week, his two carries were his lowest since Week 2, which means his rushing volume should tick up in this matchup.
Given that he is averaging six yards per rush, we should see him eclipse this mark with five or six carries, which has been the total he's consistently received this year. However, he also has the potential to blow past this with one big run.
