The Chicago Bears (10-4) host the rival Green Bay Packers (9-4-1) to close the Saturday NFL Week 16 slate on December 20. Kickoff from Soldier Field in Chicago, Ill., is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Packers vs Bears will broadcast on FOX.
The Bears are 1-point favorites over the Packers on the spread (Bears -1); the game total is 45.5. The Bears are -115 favorites on the moneyline; the Packers are -105 underdogs.
Below, you can find our Packers vs Bears picks for NFL Week 16, which include predictions for the moneyline, total and two player props.
Packers vs Bears Picks & Predictions
| Game | Time (ET) | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|
  | 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Packers vs Bears Odds
- Packers vs Bears Moneyline: Packers -105, Bears -115
- Packers vs Bears Spread: Packers +1, Bears -1
- Packers vs Bears Total: 45.5
NFL odds via bet365
Packers vs Bears Spread Prediction
In my opinion, the Bears are one of the biggest paper tigers in the NFL. Action Network's Luck Rankings have the Bears sitting at No. 2, indicating that they have vastly overperformed this season.
The Packers are much more efficient in the air than the Bears, and the rush attacks are similar in strength. The Packers are the best team in the NFL on third down, tallying .33 EPA/play in that situation. They are also much more efficient in the red zone compared to the Bears.
I think Green Bay comes out victorious in this NFC North matchup to complete the season sweep.
Pick: Packers Moneyline (-108)
Packers vs Bears Over/Under Pick
The Bears and Packers just played in Week 14 with 49 total points being scored, but I am expecting a lower scoring affair in this one.
While Green Bay averaged 8.8 yards per pass attempt, Christian Watson created explosive plays that increased that average dramatically and put up 14 points on the board in doing so on two particular chunk plays. Watson is a game-time decision due to chest and shoulder injuries — at best, I expect him to be limited to a snap count.
It’s worth noting that when Watson was off of the field last week, Jordan Love generated just 5.4 yards per pass attempt and threw an interception. I am skeptical Watson will play a full slate of snaps in this game. Right tackle Zach Tom is also set to miss this game, a significant loss considering Tom has allowed just 16 pressures this entire season.
Chicago averaged 4.6 yards per play in that meeting two weeks ago; Ben Johnson will have an even more difficult task tonight without Luther Burden III or Rome Odunze in the lineup.
The Bears have led the NFL in success rate on the ground since their Week 5 bye, and it is all but a certainty we see an extremely heavy dose of the rushing attack with big personnel on the field for the majority of this game.
Games involving the Bears have gone under the total in four of the last six games, and with the skill players surrounding Caleb Williams lacking explosive ability, this game is going to turn into a grind.
The weather forecast calls for cold temperatures and winds sustaining around 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
Pick: Under 46.5; bet to Under 45.5
Packers vs Bears Player Props: Caleb Williams
By Nick Galaida
In Chicago’s four losses this season, Caleb Williams finished with 35, 30, 38 and 35 pass attempts. The only game in which he’s had fewer than 35 pass attempts in a loss was in a Week 2 blowout against the Lions when backup Tyson Bagent entered for him in the fourth quarter.
Overall, Williams has gone over this number in 9-of-14 games this season. He threw the rock 35 times in the first Bears-Packers game on Dec. 7.
Pick: Caleb Williams Over 30.5 Pass Attempts (-120)
Packers vs Bears Anytime Touchdown Props
From an injury standpoint, this game is loaded with landmines.
For the Packers, Josh Jacobs is questionable with a knee injury and Christian Watson is questionable with shoulder and chest injuries — though he did log limited practices on Wednesday and Thursday.
If Watson is out or limited in any fashion, Dontayvion Wicks is an attractive play at around +425.
The Bears utilize a higher rate of man coverage (eighth-highest rate) and Wicks has been historically much better against man with a higher targets per route run (TPRR). Remember, he scored twice against the Lions, who also use a lot of man defense.
It's worth monitoring the injury report as we get closer to game time to have a better of idea who will be suiting up for Green Bay. Wicks is also listed on the injury report as questionable, but logged limited practices on Wednesday and Thursday.
Pick: Dontayvion Wicks Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+425)
