Canada enters its Olympic men's hockey semifinal against Finland as a heavy favorite, with Kalshi traders pricing Canada's victory at 80 cents (80% probability). In comparison, Finland sits at just 22 cents (22% chance) on the market.
The prediction market data reveals significant trader confidence in Canada's semifinal prospects. Trading volume has been robust, with over 34,000 contracts changing hands on Canada's side compared to 8,175 for Finland, indicating where the smart money is flowing.
If you're curious about Kalshi — which is legal in most states and offers a variety of unique markets — or want to make your own Canada vs Finland predictions, be sure to use our Kalshi promo code to get started.
Canada vs Finland Odds
Canada's path to the semifinals showcased the team's resilience as they navigated what one report called "the cold, heartless madness of three-on-three overtime" that eliminated several other hockey superpowers.
Finland faces an uphill battle against a Canadian squad that has demonstrated both skill and composure under Olympic pressure. The 78%-80% probability range reflected in the market suggests traders view Canada's semifinal advancement as nearly inevitable, despite Finland's reputation as a hockey powerhouse capable of pulling an upset on the international stage.
The winner of this semifinal will advance to the gold medal game, where they could potentially face the United States, which is also heavily favored in its semifinal matchup. For bettors and prediction market participants, the current odds present a clear favorite-versus-underdog scenario, with Finland needing to significantly outperform market expectations to reach the Olympic final. The market's decisive pricing reflects not just recent performance, but Canada's overall tournament strength and depth heading into the medal round.
What is Kalshi?
Different than a traditional sportsbook and available in most states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections, and even weather.
Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment, and like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).
