Finland and Slovakia meet in the bronze medal game of the 2026 Winter Olympics. Puck drop is set for 2:40 p.m. EST at Milano Santagiulia Ice Hockey Arena in Milan, Italy. The game will be broadcast live on USA Network and streamed on Peacock.
Finland is favored by -1.5 on the puck line, with the over/under set at 5.5 (+114o / -135u). Finland is a -270 favorite to win outright, while Slovakia is +220 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Finland vs Slovakia predictions and Olympics picks.
Finland vs Slovakia Odds, Pick
| Finland Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +100 | 5.5 +114o / -135u | -270 |
| Slovakia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -120 | 5.5 +114o / -135u | +220 |
- Finland vs. Slovakia Puck Line: Finland -1.5 (+100), Slovakia +1.5 (-120)
- Finland vs. Slovakia Over/Under: 5.5 (+114o / -135u)
- Finland vs. Slovakia Moneyline: Finland -270, Slovakia +220
Finland vs. Slovakia Preview
Finland
Finland delivered a strong effort in the semifinals against Canada, falling 3-2 after Nathan MacKinnon scored the game-winning goal with just over 30 seconds remaining. It was another low-scoring contest for Finland, which has now seen five or fewer total goals scored in four of its five Olympic games.
These low-scoring results stem from two primary factors. First, goaltender Juuse Saros has been Finland’s most valuable player in the tournament.
There is a legitimate argument that he has been the second-best goaltender in the field, behind only Connor Hellebuyck. Through five starts, Saros owns a .934 save percentage and a 1.80 goals-against average.
The second factor has been Finland’s inconsistent offense. While it dominated Italy 11-0, Finland is averaging just 2.5 goals per game across its other four contests against stronger competition.
Slovakia
One of those lower-scoring matchups was the tournament opener between Finland and Slovakia, which Slovakia won 4-1. Now in the medal round, the likelihood of another tight contest increases.
Games typically become more conservative at this stage, with defensemen taking fewer risks and forwards committing to stronger two-way play.
Additionally, both teams enter this matchup on the second half of a back-to-back following disappointing semifinal losses. A sluggish start would not be surprising.
Finland vs. Slovakia Prediction
If Saros can limit Canada to three goals, he can contain Slovakia as well. Slovakia has received strong offensive production from Juraj Slafkovsky and Dalibor Dvorsky, but beyond those two, scoring depth thins.
Much like the opening meeting between these teams, another game featuring five or fewer total goals is the most likely outcome.
Pick: Under 5.5 (-128 at FanDuel | Play to -135)
