Liverpool travels to St James' Park to face Newcastle United for the opening match of the Premier League season, with kickoff set for 11:30 a.m. EDT on Sunday.
Both clubs enter the new campaign with new managers at the helm, looking to start the season on a positive note.
Liverpool is favored at a -112 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-200o / +162u) goals.
Let's get into our Liverpool vs. Newcastle prediction.
Liverpool vs. Newcastle Prediction
Pick: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (-138)
Our Liverpool vs. Newcastle best bet is for both teams to score and the total to exceed 2.5 goals.
Liverpool vs. Newcastle Odds
| Liverpool Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -120 | 2.5 -200o / 162u | -112 |
| Newcastle Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -115 | 2.5 -200o / 162u | +300 |
Liverpool vs. Newcastle Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (-138, bet365)
Leg 2: Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score (+210, bet365)
The data strongly supports a high-scoring game. Last season, Liverpool's Premier League matches were the second-highest scoring in the league, averaging 3.05 goals per game. Their defense was also a concern, as they managed just one clean sheet in their final 10 games of the season, a stretch where their matches averaged 3.2 goals.
Newcastle's home form tells a similar story. The bet for 'Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals' has successfully landed in their last seven Premier League contests at St James' Park. Those matches averaged an impressive 3.86 goals per game, pointing to a trend of open, attacking soccer on their home turf.
This trend has also held true in recent head-to-head meetings, with this exact bet hitting in Liverpool's last three visits to Newcastle.
For the second Liverpool vs Newcastle pick, we look at Liverpool's historical dominance combined with the current state of Newcastle's squad.
The Magpies have undergone a significant summer overhaul, selling key midfielders Sandro Tonali and Bruno Guimaraes. Integrating new pieces under a new manager, Matthias Jaissle, who lacks Premier League experience, could prove difficult against a top side like Liverpool.
In contrast, Liverpool's new manager, Andoni Iraola, has a proven record in the league, and his attacking philosophy should translate well.
Given Liverpool's formidable record in this fixture, a win for the Reds in a high-scoring game presents strong value.
Liverpool vs. Newcastle Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Liverpool | Draw | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 46.3% | 22.9% | 30.8% |
Projected Total Goals
| Liverpool | Total Goals | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 3.16 | 1.41 |
Liverpool vs. Newcastle Betting Analysis
Liverpool's historical edge over Newcastle is one of the most pronounced in the Premier League. The Reds are currently on a 19-match unbeaten streak against the Magpies and have not lost at St James' Park in their last nine league visits, winning six of those encounters.
During that span, Liverpool has averaged two goals per game, consistently finding ways to break down the Newcastle defense.
The recent head-to-head meetings further reinforce the expectation of goals. Last season, Liverpool won both league fixtures, 3-2 at St James' Park and 4-1 at Anfield. In four of the last five meetings between the clubs, both teams have found the net, with an average of 4.2 goals per game across those matches.
This fixture has also become known for late drama, with result-altering goals scored in the 90th minute or later in each of the last three league meetings at this venue.
The tactical battle in the midfield will be crucial. With Newcastle's sale of core players like Guimaraes and Tonali, their central midfield is in a state of transition. Liverpool should be able to exploit this area to control the tempo of the game.
While both teams are starting fresh with new managers, Iraola's Premier League experience with Bournemouth gives him an advantage over Jaissle, who is new to the English top flight.
This combination of historical dominance, current squad disruption for Newcastle, and a more experienced manager for Liverpool points toward an away victory.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Liverpool vs Newcastle picks.
