Qarabag FK (3-3-1) and Liverpool (5-2) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EST at Anfield in Liverpool.
Liverpool is favored at a -800 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (-115o / -105u) goals.
Let's get into my Qarabag vs. Liverpool prediction.
Qarabag vs. Liverpool Prediction
Pick: Liverpool to Win
My Qarabag vs. Liverpool best bet is for Liverpool to win.
Qarabag vs. Liverpool Odds
| Qarabag Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -128 | 3.5 -115o / -105u | +1700 |
| Liverpool Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -110 | 3.5 -115o / -105u | -800 |
Qarabag vs. Liverpool Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Liverpool to Win
Leg 2: Both Teams to Score
Liverpool haven’t been at their best this season. They come into this game on the back of a 3-2 defeat against Bournemouth, which has cranked up the pressure on Arne Slot. However, the Reds have produced their best football in the Champions League and should have enough to beat Qarabag.
Despite their struggles, Liverpool are unbeaten in their last six competitive matches at Anfield. They have also won 10 of their 13 home Champions League matches since the start of the 2023/24 campaign.
Qarabag surprised many by beating Frankfurt 3-2 in Azerbaijan on matchday seven, but the trip to Liverpool promises to be a much tougher test. Gurban Gurbanov’s side have lost their last two Champions League away games, conceding five goals in the process.
Liverpool have struggled on occasions this season, but look in top form in Europe. Playing at home, Arne Slot’s team is heavily priced in almost all markets, opening the door to backing the visitors on goals.
Qarabag are one of the biggest surprises in the Champions League, having already secured a spot in the playoffs. In the process, Qarabag failed to score in just one game, averaging 1.9 goals per game.
Two out of three of Liverpool’s home games have seen both teams score. Interestingly, the Reds have conceded more goals at home than on the road.
With the expectations of this being a heavily one-sided match, siding with the top-form Qarabag to score once is a value pick.
Qarabag vs. Liverpool Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Qarabag | Draw | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 3.3% | 7.2% | 89.5% |
Projected Total Goals
| Qarabag | Total Goals | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 0.44 | 2.86 | 3.31 |
Qarabag vs. Liverpool Betting Analysis
Liverpool are poised to secure their place in the Champions League last 16 with a win against Qarabag at Anfield on Wednesday, coming into the match off the back of strong continental performances compared to their domestic form.
Despite their struggles in the Premier League, Liverpool have excelled in Europe; they stand fourth in the league phase, having secured five victories, except against Galatasaray and PSV Eindhoven, positioning them well for automatic progression.
As they prepare for their final league-phase match, Liverpool hold a two-point advantage over Barcelona in ninth, highlighting the importance of a victory to avoid the play-offs.
The recent domestic defeat against Bournemouth has affected Liverpool’s morale and interrupted a 13-match unbeaten streak, providing Qarabag with a potential opportunity.
Qarabag, currently 18th in the standings, know they must avoid a heavy defeat to preserve their goal difference. The visitors will aim to exploit Liverpool’s vulnerabilities by using a defensive, counter-attacking strategy—an approach that has occasionally troubled Liverpool this season, especially at Anfield.
