The Toronto Tempo (10-18) and Golden State Valkyries (19-9) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. EDT at Chase Center in San Francisco, Calif. The game will be broadcast live on KPIX+.
The Valkyries are favored by -13.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 164.5 (-118o / -104u). The Valkyries are a -850 favorite to win outright, while the Tempo are +540 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into our Tempo vs. Valkyries predictions and WNBA picks.
Tempo vs. Valkyries Odds, Pick
| Tempo Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+13.5 -114 | 164.5 -118o / -104u | +540 |
| Valkyries Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-13.5 -106 | 164.5 -118o / -104u | -850 |
- Tempo vs. Valkyries Spread: Tempo +13.5 (-114), Valkyries -13.5 (-106)
- Tempo vs. Valkyries Over/Under: 164.5 (-118o / -104u)
- Tempo vs. Valkyries Moneyline: Tempo +540, Valkyries -850
- Tempo vs. Valkyries Best Bet: Tempo +13.5 (-114)
Tempo vs. Valkyries Preview
The Toronto Tempo head west to face the Golden State Valkyries on Sunday night, desperate to halt a five-game losing streak.
Golden State has been formidable on its home floor, posting an 11-4 record while relying heavily on a league-leading defense that holds opponents to just 76.9 points per game on 42.5% shooting from the field.
Toronto has struggled to produce consistent results away from home with a 4-7 mark on the road, though they have kept things tight in close contests, holding a 1-2 record in games decided by fewer than four points.
This matchup presents a dramatic clash of styles. The Valkyries lean on perimeter scoring, knocking down an average of 10.6 three-pointers per game, which is 1.6 more than the 9.0 triples Toronto yields per contest.
On the flip side, the Tempo feature a high-powered offense averaging 88.1 points per game—a full 11.2 points higher than Golden State's defensive average.
In their first meeting on July 8, Golden State secured an 83-75 victory fueled by Janelle Salaün's 26 points, while Isabelle Harrison led Toronto with 24 points in the loss.
Injury reports could significantly impact both rosters heading into tip-off. Golden State list Gabby Williams as day-to-day and questionable.
Toronto enters the contest banged up as well, with guard Marina Mabrey questionable due to a neck issue, while Brittney Sykes remains sidelined with a foot injury and Aneesah Morrow is ruled out.
Tempo vs. Valkyries Prediction
From a betting perspective, taking the Toronto Tempo at +13.5 aligns directly with the "Public Big Dogs" system developed by betting analyst Evan Abrams.
This system specifically identifies value on large underdogs of 11.5 points or more during the WNBA regular season when the betting public shows notable enthusiasm for taking the points.
Market perception in these scenarios often gets skewed by recent trends, individual star power, or general media narrative rather than reflecting true underlying performance, creating inflated point spreads.
Golden State’s defensive reputation and Toronto's five-game slump have pushed this line into heavy double-digit territory.
By backing a large dog receiving moderate public support, bettors can capitalize on an overadjusted spread that fails to account for how frequently late-game margins tighten in WNBA play.
Toronto's potent scoring capabilities give them enough punch to stay within striking distance and cover the generous double-digit margin.
Expect Golden State to control the outcome, but take Toronto +13.5 to cover the spread.
Best Bet: Tempo +13.5 (-114)
