Anthony Schwartz Draft Profile, Dynasty Fantasy Analysis & Props To Bet
Timothy Nwachukwu/Getty Images. Pictured: Anthony Schwartz
Anthony Schwartz Draft Profile
Anthony Schwartz Draft Props
If you like donating money, Schwartz is available at +20000 at BetMGM to be the No. 1 wide receiver drafted. Not even with Chad Millman’s sign-up bonus would I bet that.
While I rely on my own research, I also take a “wisdom of the crowds” approach by surveying an index of mock drafts. I find that these drafts — created by experts with established records of success — collectively give me a good sense of the realistic range of outcomes for what we might see with any given player or pick.
In not one of the surveyed mocks has Schwartz gone in Round 1.
With his world-class speed, SEC background and four-star recruitment status, Schwartz feels like the kind of guy who will be drafted earlier than he should.
It’s notable that Schwartz goes in Round 2 of Mel Kiper Jr.’s most recent mock, and it’s arguable that right now his draft stock is on the borderline of Rounds 2-3, especially after his impressive pro day (per Grinding the Mocks).
With that in mind, it was easy for me to bet the under on his draft position over/under of 145.5 when it opened at Circa last week.
5/ Anthony Schwartz under 145.5: -115, 1.15 units
Some team will covet his speed in Rounds 2-4.
— Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) April 17, 2021
But now it’s at 97.5 at William Hill, and that middle of picks Nos. 98-145 looks mighty attractive.
- That’s a lot of picks. A lot.
- I might be wrong about Schwartz: Maybe he won’t go in Rounds 2-3.
After all, Schwartz is comfortably over 97.5 in two notable consensus big boards.
- The Athletic: 131
- NFL Mock Draft Database: 126
With a spread that juicy and two significant indicators pointing in that direction, it might pay to admit that I often am unable to predict the future.
As Shakespeare’s Richard III puts it, “I thank my God for my humility.”
Middle, I shall.
Pick: Over 97.5, -115; 1.15 units
Bet Now:William Hill
Dynasty Fantasy Analysis
Schwartz isn’t my kind of receiver, but I tentatively expect him to be drafted on Day 2 for one simple reason: The dude is fast. Legitimately fast.
4️⃣.2️⃣6️⃣ unofficial for @TheRealF1ash. #WarEagle | @BBVA_USApic.twitter.com/FVth2pI4P9
— Auburn Football (@AuburnFootball) March 18, 2021
In 2017, Schwartz set a youth world record with a 10.15-second 100-meter dash in high school. At Auburn, he is a literal track star.
And you see that in how he plays: He’s a sprinter, not a route runner. He’s not a technician. He doesn’t have a developed route tree or strong hands. And with his track-and-field frame, he doesn’t have the body to be a physical receiver.
His speed is unrivaled, and when he gets by a defensive back, he’s gone.
How fast is Anthony Schwartz? On this play, the track star hits a top speed of 21.79 MPH. That would be good for the 2nd-fastest ball carrier in the NFL this season, only behind Tyreek Hill. #AuburnFootballpic.twitter.com/vUIC5XB8wI
— Logic Sports (@LogicSports3) October 13, 2018
But Schwartz is more of a field-stretching threat than an actual downfield producer.
Basically, he’s a gadget player. He’s arguably better as a runner on reverses and jet sweeps than as an actual receiver.
Anthony Schwartz is FAST! 🔥
— PFF Draft (@PFF_College) September 21, 2019
Schwartz contributed immediately as a freshman at Auburn, but as a sophomore he failed to take a significant step forward.
- 2018 (13 games): 22-357-2 receiving | 27-211-5 rushing
- 2017 (13 games): 41-440-1 receiving | 11-118-2 rushing
As a junior, he led the team with 54 receptions, but he was still just No. 2 for the Tigers with 636 yards and three touchdowns receiving, and he disappointingly did (less than) nothing as a runner, rushing for -6 yards on four carries.
And, amazingly, despite his speed and strong rushing production, Schwartz never returned kicks in college.
Overall, he’s incredibly limited — and he never had a real breakout at Auburn.
But Schwartz has real factors in his favor.
- He will turn 21 years old right as the season starts.
- He is entering the NFL after just three years in college.
- He has a chance to be a top-100 pick.
If everything works out for him, Schwartz will be Will Fuller with less draft capital and no hamstring issues.
But when does anything ever work out?
NFL Prospect Comp: Jacoby Ford with less receiving and returning production but more draft capital and youth
Matthew Freedman is 1,018-828-37 (55.1%) overall betting on the NFL. You can follow him in our free app.
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