Promoguy’s Vegas Fantasy Football Rankings, Week 6
Adam Glanzman/Getty Images. Pictured: Rhamondre Stevenson.
A few weeks ago, we debuted Vegas-style fantasy football rankings.
We used season-long prop lines for each player to project fantasy points, using the wisdom-of-the-crowds approach embedded in betting markets to find players undervalued and overvalued by fantasy experts.
For example: if a receiver was listed at 6 catches, 60 yards and 0.5 TDs in the prop market, he'd be projected for 15 points in full PPR, and 9 points in standard formats.
We'll be doing the same on a game-by-game basis, using props from that week's games to create fantasy rankings. While you'll be starting most of the players listed anyway, these rankings can be a good way to find DFS value or make tough lineup decisions early in the season.
Here's how things shook out for quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers for Week 6 in all formats, with some notes below.
- Geno Smith is finally getting respect in the prop market, all the way up at No. 6.
- Daniel Jones is QB10 against the Ravens, with his rushing yardage expected to boost his floor.
- Rhamondre Stevenson, with Damien Harris expected to miss today's game against the Browns, is in the top 5 among running backs in all formats.
- Kenneth Walker, Eno Benjamin and Darrell Henderson are all in the top 15 as they assume the lead roles in their backfields for the first time this season.
- Breece Hall and Jeff Wilson Jr. are behind that trio despite taking on bigger roles in the last few weeks.
- Like their quarterback, the prop rankings love Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf this week. They're both top 10 receivers in our rankings.
- Jaylen Waddle is almost outside the top 30, while Tyreek Hill is WR13 in PPR, as the prop market expects a decrease in output with Skylar Thompson at quarterback.
- Chris Godwin and Mike Evans are also in the top 12 as the Bucs have a good matchup against the Steelers in Pittsburgh.
- Tight end is about what you'd expect — Kelce and Andrews as the top two, then a big dropoff to Tyler Higbee and Zach Ertz.