The best NFL prediction market promos are live for the Bills vs. Lions matchup tonight at 8:15 p.m. ET on Thursday Night Football. It's the first-ever regular-season game at the new Highmark Stadium, so the emotions will be high, and we finally get a chance to see what the Bills look like in their new barn.
Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig, ProphetX, and FanDuel Predicts each add their own welcome credits, and the combined haul across every platform clears several hundred dollars before kickoff. Most of these offers require a first-time deposit or trade, so you'll be sailing smoothly as you start your prediction market journey one way or another.
Below, I'll detail the best NFL prediction market promos in the industry and why you should sign up for each one. That is, if you haven't already.
NFL Prediction Market Promos for Thursday Night Football: Lions vs. Bills
| NFL Prediction Market | Promo Code | NFL Prediction Market Promo |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Click Here | Deposit $10, Get $50 Bonus |
| Kalshi | Click Here | Trade $25, Get $25 Bonus |
| Novig | Click Here | Deposit $10, Get $25 Bonus |
| ProphetX | TANBONUS | Trade $50, Get $75 Bonus |
| FanDuel Predicts | Click Here | Trade $1 for 5 Days, Get $100 Bonus |
Bills vs. Lions Odds & Prices for Thursday Night Football
| Market | Detroit Lions | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 32¢ (32% Win Probability) | 68¢ (68% Win Probability) |
| Spread | +5.5 (51¢) | -5.5 (50¢) |
| Total | Over 54.5 Points (53¢) | Under 54.5(48¢) |
NFL Odds: Lions vs. Bills Preview & Prediction
Both teams survived Week 1 with their defense on the wrong end of a shootout. Josh Allen went 20 of 29 for 334 yards and two touchdowns, ran in two more scores, and led Buffalo to a 36-31 win over Houston. Dalton Kincaid showed up in a big way, with three of his five catches going for explosive gains en route to 130 receiving yards.
Detroit held off New Orleans 31-30 in overtime behind Jahmyr Gibbs, who carried 29 times for 156 yards and two touchdowns, plus Amon-Ra St. Brown, who caught 10 passes and scored twice. The problem is that its defense stayed on the field for 86 plays Sunday and still plays without safeties Kerby Joseph and Brian Branch, a gap that widens against an MVP favorite. Kincaid already showed what a tight end does to a thin secondary, and Buffalo opens its new stadium under first-year head coach Joe Brady with the home crowd behind it. Points come easy in this spot: the over hit in seven of Detroit's last 10 games and six of Buffalo's last 10, and one projection model pegs the combined score near 58.
Lay the points with Buffalo. Kincaid and Buffalo's deep passing game attack the middle of a secondary leaning on backups, and the Bills hung 36 points on a Houston defense far better than this one. Detroit also needed overtime to escape a New Orleans team it once led 21-0, so that opener flatters the Lions more than the final score suggests.
Lions vs. Bills: Prediction: Bills -5.5, Over 54.5
If you like our content and picks, claim the NFL prediction market promos linked above and put those bonus credits on Buffalo.
Do NFL Prediction Market Promos Work in My State?
Prediction markets answer to the CFTC, so all 50 states allow accounts on paper. Sports contracts tell a different story, because a handful of states won court orders against them. As of Sept. 16, sports markets sit offline in Michigan, Nevada and Utah, and Massachusetts blocks Kalshi sports contracts while its Supreme Judicial Court weighs the case. Washington limits Kalshi too, and Polymarket stays unavailable in Arizona, Connecticut, Maryland and Tennessee. Lions fans inside Michigan draw the short straw, but traders in the other 45-plus states keep full access to these NFL prediction market promos.
How to Claim NFL Prediction Market Promos
Each sign-up takes about two minutes on your phone, so work through the offers one at a time.
- Tap the link for the platform you want and open a new account.
- Enter the promo code where the app asks for it during registration.
- Confirm your details, since every platform checks your age and location before it accepts money.
- Deposit at least the minimum the offer requires, which starts as low as $10 on Polymarket.
- Place your qualifying trade on any market you like, including tonight's game in Buffalo. Bonus credits post automatically once the platform confirms the trade.
1. Polymarket
| Promo Code | Sign-Up Bonus | States |
|---|---|---|
| Click Here | Deposit $10, Get a $50 Trading Bonus! | AK, AL, AR, CA, CO, CT, DC, DE, FL, GA, HI, IA, ID, IN, KS, KY, LA, ME, MN, MO, MS, NC, ND, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NY, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, VT, WI, WV, WY |
No other offer on this page moves you from sign-up to first trade this quickly. The Polymarket promo code asks for a $10 deposit and nothing more, so unlocking the bonus never forces your hand on Buffalo or Detroit. That puts $60 in your account before the 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff.
The $50 arrives as spendable trading credit instead of a single locked ticket, which is why it keeps working deep into the season. Buy the Bills near 70¢, cash out during the fourth quarter, and that same balance carries into Sunday's slate without another deposit.
2. Kalshi
| Promo Code | Sign-Up Bonus | States |
|---|---|---|
| Click Here | Trade $25, Get $25! | AK, AL, AR, CA, CO, CT, DC, DE, FL, GA, HI, IA, ID, IN, KS, KY, LA, ME, MN, MO, MS, NC, ND, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NY, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, VT, WI, WV, WY |
The Kalshi promo code gives you $25 back after you push $25 of volume through the platform. That condition keys on activity rather than a deposit, so every contract you buy chips away at it whether the position hits or misses, and a first trade that lands leaves you more to work with on the next one.
Tonight's game covers the threshold on its own, with no oversized ticket needed. Ten on the Bills spread, ten on the total, and five on a Josh Allen passing prop gets you there before halftime. Kalshi also offers a deeper per-game menu than anything else on this page, plus Super Bowl and MVP boards priced at their lowest right now, with four months of trading still ahead.
3. Novig
| Promo Code | Sign-Up Bonus | States |
|---|---|---|
| Click Here | Deposit $10, Get $25 in Trade Credits! | AK, AR, FL, GA, HI, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, ME, MA, MN, MO, NE, NH, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, SC, SD, TX, VT, VA, DC, WI, WY |
The Novig promo code clears on the deposit alone with no trading requirement attached, which makes it the right pick when you are creating an account an hour before kickoff. The Novig promo code stretches $10 into $35 of working balance, or five $5 swings across the Lions vs. Bills board.
Novig stands out for its pricing model. The platform runs sports exclusively, takes no vig on pre-game markets, and caps nothing on volume, with rewards climbing as you trade more. You can also post your own number and wait for a taker, so if Buffalo's team total over 27.5 appeals to you but 55¢ does not, name your price and let the other side come to you. One catch: Novig sets its minimum age at 21, above what most platforms on this page require.
4. ProphetX
| Promo Code | Sign-Up Bonus | States |
|---|---|---|
| TANBONUS | Trade $50, Get $75! | AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WV, WI, WY |
The ProphetX promo code TANBONUS demands the biggest commitment on this page and returns the biggest payoff, sending back $75 once $50 of volume clears. Nothing forces that into a single stake either, so five $10 positions spread across tonight's markets satisfy it exactly as well as one $50 shot on the Buffalo moneyline.
ProphetX deals in sports and nothing else, which keeps political and economic contracts out of your way when you are hunting the Lions vs. Bills board. Instant cash-out matters here too, since your money frees up the moment you exit rather than sitting idle until settlement. Coverage reaches nearly every state, including several where no legal sportsbook exists at all.
5. FanDuel Predicts
| Promo Code | Sign-Up Bonus | States |
|---|---|---|
| Click Here | Trade $1 for 5 Days, Get $100 Bonus! | AK, AL, CA, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, MN, ND, NE, NM, OK, RI, SC, SD, TX, UT |
No FanDuel Predicts promo code exists to memorize here, and no holding period stands between you and the offer. A single dollar on tonight's Lions vs. Bills board opens the streak, Sunday's 13-game slate handles day two, and a dollar on the Super Bowl or MVP market covers the slow days until Wednesday.
Risking $5 to collect $100 gives you the strongest ratio on this page, provided you trade on more than one occasion. Skip a day, though, and the counter starts over. The app mirrors the FanDuel sportsbook closely enough that a first-time contract trader needs almost no ramp-up, and anyone with an existing FanDuel account skips verification entirely. Availability covers 18 states, Texas among them, where conventional sportsbooks remain shut out.
