Our Orioles vs. Mets prediction focuses on Francisco Lindor tonight as New York hosts Baltimore at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN.
The Orioles vs. Mets prediction can also be traded through Kalshi, where eligible new users can claim the Kalshi promo codeACTION offer. Complete $25 in qualifying trading volume to receive $25 in promotional credit under the offer terms.
Orioles vs. Mets Prediction: Francisco Lindor 2+ Hits + Runs + RBIs (57 cents)
Our Orioles vs. Mets prediction: Francisco Lindor 2+ Hits + Runs + RBIs at 57 cents.
The read behind the pick comes from Action Network MLB expert Ryan Minion.
Orioles vs. Mets Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Wednesday, September 16
Lindor arrives as one of the hottest hitters in the sport. He has cleared the fence four times across New York's last four games, and he already owns a home run off tonight's Baltimore starter.
Chris Bassitt carries a 4.88 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP into his final month of a rough first season in Baltimore. The 37-year-old right-hander falls behind in counts, then leaves pitches in the zone to dig himself out. Lindor punishes exactly that pattern, slugging .529 in his prior looks at Bassitt and feasting on fastballs and sinkers.
Robert Stock answers for the Mets with a 5.93 ERA, so both sides of this one shape up for traffic on the bases. Sportsbooks set the total at 8.5 runs.
Forty-three contracts at 57 cents cost $24.51 and return $43 if Lindor reaches two combined hits, runs, and RBIs. That single position also clears the $25 requirement on the welcome offer.
Orioles vs. Mets Odds on Kalshi
| Kalshi Market | Contract price |
|---|---|
| Orioles win | 48¢ |
| Mets win | 53¢ |
| Orioles +1.5 | 65¢ |
| Mets -1.5 | 36¢ |
| Over 8.5 | 55¢ |
| Under 8.5 | 46¢ |
Kalshi prices every contract between 1 cent and 99 cents, and each one pays $1 when your side lands. The price doubles as the market's read on that outcome, which makes prediction markets easy to scan next to traditional MLB odds.
Baltimore at 48 cents turns $25 into 52 contracts worth $52. New York at 53 cents returns $47 on 47 contracts. Both sides count the same toward your bonus.
What the Kalshi Promo Code ACTION Offers You
| Kalshi Sign-Up Offer | Trade $25, Get $25 in Bonuses |
|---|---|
| Kalshi Promo Code | ACTION |
| Minimum deposit | $1 |
| Requirement | $25 in total trades |
| Bonus | $25 in trading credit |
| Bonus expiry | 7 days after it lands |
| Eligibility | New users, 18+, most U.S. states |
| Regulator | CFTC |
Five $5 positions clear the requirement just as cleanly as one $25 position. One detail matters most: the code applies only during registration, so enter it before you fund the account.
How to Claim the Kalshi Bonus
- Tap any Kalshi promo code link on this page.
- Register with your name, address, phone number, and SSN.
- Enter Kalshi promo code ACTION in the code field during signup.
- Deposit at least $1 by bank transfer, debit card, Apple Pay, PayPal, or Venmo.
- Trade $25 across any market, such as tonight's Lindor contract.
- Collect the $25 bonus once the trade settles.
Why This Offer Suits Our Orioles vs. Mets Prediction
ESPN is carrying a national MLB game tonight, so signing up this afternoon puts your qualifying trade and your bonus in the same window.
The result doesn't change the credit. Kalshi counts the dollars you trade, not whether you win or lose, so either side of our Orioles vs. Mets prediction unlocks $25.
Baltimore took the series opener 2-1 and sits at 73-78. The Mets slipped to 69-81 and sit six games under .500 at home, and they managed six hits in the opener before going scoreless across the final five innings.
Cash the Lindor pick and a $43 return sits next to $25 in bonus credit for a $68 balance. Our Kalshi review breaks down the rest of the platform, and our rankings of the best prediction market apps and the best prediction market promos show how this welcome offer stacks up.
Next Up: Lions vs. Bills on Thursday Night Football
After tonight, your bonus rolls straight into Thursday Night Football. The Lions visit Buffalo at 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video for the first regular-season game at the new Highmark Stadium, with the Bills at 60 cents and Detroit at 41 cents. The $25 credit buys 41 Buffalo contracts worth $41 or 60 Detroit contracts worth $60 on the upset.
Orioles vs. Mets Prediction FAQs
What is the Orioles vs. Mets prediction tonight? Our pick backs Francisco Lindor 2+ hits + runs + RBIs at 57 cents on Kalshi, based on analysis from Action Network MLB expert Ryan Minion.
What is the Kalshi promo code? The code is ACTION. New traders enter it during registration to activate the Trade $25, Get $25 in Bonuses offer, verified as live on Sept. 16, 2026.
Do you need a winning trade to unlock the $25 bonus? No. Kalshi counts the dollar amount you trade, not the result. Any $25 in total volume qualifies.
How long does the Kalshi bonus last? Seven days from the moment it hits your account, which covers tonight's MLB slate and Thursday Night Football.
Which states offer Kalshi? Kalshi operates in most states. Exclusions currently include Arizona, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, Ohio, and Washington. Check the app for your state before you deposit.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
