The New York Mets host the Baltimore Orioles on September 16, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on ESPN.
The Mets are favored by -149 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Orioles are +123 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Orioles vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Orioles vs Mets Prediction
- Orioles vs Mets Pick: Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 TB (+107) | Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 HRR (-147)
My Orioles vs Mets best bets are these Francisco Lindor props. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page, and download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Orioles vs Mets Odds
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -172 | 8.5 -122o / 101u | +123 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +141 | 8.5 -122o / 101u | -149 |
- Orioles vs Mets moneyline: Orioles +123, Mets -149
- Orioles vs Mets over/under: 8.5 (-122o / +101u)
- Orioles vs Mets spread: Orioles +1.5 (-172), Mets -1.5 (+141)
Orioles vs Mets Probable Pitchers
| Chris Bassitt (RHP, BAL) | Stat | Robert Stock (RHP, NYM) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-5 | W-L | 1-3 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.5 |
| 4.88 / 5.13 | ERA / xERA | 5.93 / 5.09 |
| 4.58 / 4.73 | FIP / xFIP | 3.93 / 4.96 |
| 7.3 | K-BB% | 9.5 |
| 45.6 | GB% | 36.5 |
| .337 | BABIP | .371 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 100 | Location+ | 97 |
Orioles vs Mets MLB Betting Preview, Prediction
The Mets host the Orioles on Wednesday evening in the last of a three-game homestand at Citi Field in Queens.
In a game I expect to see plenty of offense with a starting-pitching matchup featuring two struggling arms, I favor targeting some player prop markets as my primary betting angle ahead of Wednesday’s divisional clash.
37-year-old righty veteran Chris Bassitt will take the mound for the O’s in the midst of a rocky first season in Baltimore.
The former Blue Jay has recorded an abysmal 4.88 ERA on the season thus far, along with a very inefficient 1.59 WHIP as well.
Bassitt is posting career-low pitching metrics across the board, evident through his elevated ERA, spiked WHIP, and significantly diminished punch-out prowess in 2026.
The O’s right-hander has struggled with command all year long, frequently falling behind in the count early in at-bats, thus requiring him to throw strikes in the zone to avoid increasing an already heightened walk rate (BB%)
Given Bassitt’s inefficiency on the bump, I expect Mets SS Francisco Lindor to have a huge day at the plate, entering Wednesday’s matchup as one of the hottest hitters in all of baseball in addition to his having already smashed a homer off of the Orioles’ vet previously.
Lindor has shown a remarkable ability to drive baseballs for power in his prior encounters versus Bassitt, posting an exceptional .529 SLG% whilst forcing the O’s righty out of his comfort zone, which is to induce weak contact.
The Mets’ star thrives against fastballs and sinkers, handling high-velocity offerings extremely well. Lindor is in scorching form at the plate, having smashed four homers over New York’s last four games.
Given Lindor’s heater at the plate and Bassitt’s spiraling form on the mound, I favor backing the Mets’ five-time All-Star to exceed both his 1.5 HRR and 1.5 TB marks as my primary betting angles for Wednesday’s NL East showdown.
Picks: Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 TB (+107) | Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 HRR (-147)
