Phillies vs Royals Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - July 4, 2026

Phillies at Royals

12:10 am • NBCS-PH

Philadelphia Phillies

63-56

6 - 1

Kansas City Royals

49-70

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Wacha			3.44	5-8
J.Luzardo			3.32	10-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 63-56	-1.5	-1.5+105	o9-108	-160
Royals 49-70	u9	+1.5-129	u9-110	+134

Sunday 12:10 a.m.

July 05, 2026

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

KC +135

PHI -155

0.65u

PHI -148

K.Schwarber o0.5 HR+227

0.1u

Under 4.5 (F5)-105

PHI -120

0.5u

Boost used

M.Wacha u17.5 Outs+140

THE BAT X is forecasting 16.50 pitching outs for Michael Wacha compared to 17.96 pitching outs implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here. If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 55% of the time, resulting in a 33% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $32.70. This play is good down to at least -101. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

PHI -152

KC +128 (F5)

0.5u

(FD) Saturday's Leadoff (Want at least +125)

Trollo's Pick for Phillies-Royals
Matt Trollo•
Jul 4, 2026 UTC
The Leadoff: Trollo's MLB Breakdown and Bets for the 4th of July
Matt Trollo•
Jul 4, 2026 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Royals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 26-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 29 of Royals' 59 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	53-66	27-32	26-34	14-25	38-41
Phillies	46-73	24-38	22-35	39-49	7-24

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	54-63-2	29-29-1	25-34-1	22-17	32-45-2
Phillies	52-62-5	31-28-3	21-34-2	42-42-4	10-20-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	49-70	29-30	20-40	18-21	30-49
Phillies	63-56	32-30	31-26	54-34	9-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 2nd	TB	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 10.5	TB +103
Jul 1st	TB	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 10.5	TB +129
Jun 30th	TB	L 4-10	+1.5 L	O 9.5	TB -109
Jun 28th	@CWS	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	KC +115
Jun 27th	@CWS	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8	CWS +109

Max Lazar
RP
Lazar is out with oblique
Out

Andrew Painter
SP
Andrew Painter was seen walking out to bullpen, he won't start but could be available in relief.
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	95	6	9	1
RJ.Bowlan, P	20	1	3	0
RO.Kerkering, P	14	1	2	0
LT.Mayza, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Turner, SS	1-5	1	0	0
2K.Schwarber, DH	3-4	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4B.Marsh, LF	0-5	0	0	0
5A.Bohm, 3B	2-4	2	1	1
6B.Stott, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
7J.Realmuto, C	1-4	1	1	2
8G.Rincones, RF	2-4	1	1	2
8D.Hill, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8D.Hill, RF	0-0	0	0	0
9J.Crawford, CF	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Wacha, P	105	6	7	4
RL.Erceg, P	21	1	0	1
RJ.Cuas, P	17	1	0	1
RB.Way, P	22	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Jensen, C	0-4	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	0-4	0	0
3L.Thomas, CF	1-4	1	0
4J.Caglianone, 1B	0-4	0	0
5N.Loftin, 3B	1-4	0	1
6S.Marte, DH	1-3	0	0
7I.Collins, LF	0-3	0	0
8M.Massey, 2B	0-3	0	0
9T.Tolbert, RF	2-2	0	0
9K.Misner, PH	0-1	0	0
9K.Misner, RF	0-1	0	0