
Derek Carty

594
Total Bets
324.6K
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Derek Carty
Last 30d: 32-38-5 (+5.70u)
Derek Carty's Picks
Today
Pending
A.Barner o2.5 Recs+110
SEA
DEN
1u
10/16 12:15 AM
THE BLITZ is forecasting 3.51 receptions for AJ Barner. The oddsmakers' implied projection is 2.69 receptions, so I believe there is some value here. If you take the over, you’d be projected to win 64% of the time resulting in a 33% ROI with expected value of $32.52 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least -124.
Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
32
7
B.Robinson u18.5 Rush Att-102
CHI
ATL
1.02u
10/18 5:00 PM
There is a value opportunity on Bijan Robinson's rush attempts prop. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 17.69 rush attempts, while sportsbooks imply 20.90. The model believes there is a 67% chance he records fewer than 18.5 rush attempts, so there is some value on the under at -102. This play is good down to at least -139.
Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
28
5
C.Olave u6.5 Recs-104
NO
NYG
1.04u
10/18 5:00 PM
There may be some value on the receptions prop for Chris Olave. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 5.99 receptions, and the oddsmakers are implying 7.15. The model believes there is a 64% chance he records fewer than 6.5 receptions. If you can get the under at -104 or better, there is some great value here. This play is good down to at least -126.
Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
25
5
Futures
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 0-0-0 | 0% | 0.00u |
| Last 7 Days | 6-1-0 | 86% | 7.25u |
| Last 30 Days | 32-38-5 | 43% | 5.70u |
| All Time | 231-332-31 | 39% | 49.98u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 159-246-30 | 37% | 48.92u |
| NFL | 72-84-1 | 46% | 3.07u |
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