Derek Carty

Derek Carty's Picks

Today
Pending
THE BLITZ is forecasting 3.51 receptions for AJ Barner. The oddsmakers' implied projection is 2.69 receptions, so I believe there is some value here. If you take the over, you’d be projected to win 64% of the time resulting in a 33% ROI with expected value of $32.52 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least -124. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
32
7
There is a value opportunity on Bijan Robinson's rush attempts prop. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 17.69 rush attempts, while sportsbooks imply 20.90. The model believes there is a 67% chance he records fewer than 18.5 rush attempts, so there is some value on the under at -102. This play is good down to at least -139. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
28
5
C.Olave u6.5 Recs-104
NO
NO Team Abbreviation@NYG Team Abbreviation
NYG
1.04u
10/18 5:00 PM
There may be some value on the receptions prop for Chris Olave. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 5.99 receptions, and the oddsmakers are implying 7.15. The model believes there is a 64% chance he records fewer than 6.5 receptions. If you can get the under at -104 or better, there is some great value here. This play is good down to at least -126. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
25
5
Futures
Past Performance
Yesterday0-0-00%
0.00u
Last 7 Days6-1-086%
7.25u
Last 30 Days32-38-543%
5.70u
All Time231-332-3139%
49.98u
Top Leagues
MLB159-246-3037%
48.92u
NFL72-84-146%
3.07u