
Derek Carty

189
Total Bets
215.3K
Followers
Derek Carty
Last 30d: 8-27-3 (-5.39u)
Derek Carty's Picks
Today
S.Matz u4.5 Ks+128
TB
3
-
3
CWS
1u
Top 9th
There is a value opportunity on Steven Matz's strikeouts prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 4.47 strikeouts, while oddsmakers are implying 5.00. The model believes there is a 54% chance he records fewer than 5 strikeouts, so there is value on the under at +128. This play is good down to at least +113.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=inf8qq%22%3EEV Analytics!
16
5
W.Langford o0.5 HR+521
TEX
3
-
3
ATH
0.25u
Top 7th
There is a value opportunity on Wyatt Langford's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting 0.26 home runs for him with a 22% chance that he records at least 1 home run. If you can get the over at +521 or better, there is great value here. This play is good down to at least +424.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
11
5
J.Jung o0.5 HR+760
TEX
3
-
3
ATH
0.25u
Top 7th
There is a value opportunity on Josh Jung's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting 0.18 home runs for him with a 16% chance that he records at least 1 home run. If you can get the over at +760 or better, there is great value here. This play is good down to at least +639.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
13
5
J.Burger o0.5 HR+410
TEX
3
-
3
ATH
0.25u
Top 7th
There is a value opportunity on Jake Burger's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting 0.29 home runs for him with a 25% chance that he records at least 1 home run. If you can get the over at +410 or better, there is great value here. This play is good down to at least +367.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
12
6
L.Butler o0.5 HR+760
TEX
3
-
3
ATH
0.25u
Top 7th
THE BAT X is forecasting 0.18 home runs for Lawrence Butler. Oddsmakers are implying 0.13 home runs, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 16% of the time resulting in a 37% ROI with expected value of $37.17 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least +621.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
12
4
B.Nimmo o0.5 HR+670
TEX
3
-
3
ATH
0.25u
Top 7th
There is a value opportunity on Brandon Nimmo's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting 0.20 home runs for him with a 17% chance that he records at least 1 home run. If you can get the over at +670 or better, there is great value here. This play is good down to at least +561.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
12
4
D.Gilbert u0.5 Hits+110
SF
3
-
0
CIN
1.1u
FINAL 4/16
THE BAT X is forecasting 0.48 hits for Drew Gilbert compared to 0.72 hits implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here. If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 62% of the time, resulting in a 30% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $29.93. This play is good down to at least -116.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
14
5
Pending
Futures
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 2-2-0 | 50% | 1.80u |
| Last 7 Days | 6-18-2 | 23% | -0.41u |
| Last 30 Days | 8-27-3 | 21% | -5.39u |
| All Time | 70-108-11 | 37% | 2.36u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 47-49-1 | 48% | 7.51u |
| MLB | 23-59-10 | 25% | -5.16u |
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