Derek Carty

Derek Carty's Picks

Today
There is a value opportunity on Steven Matz's strikeouts prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 4.47 strikeouts, while oddsmakers are implying 5.00. The model believes there is a 54% chance he records fewer than 5 strikeouts, so there is value on the under at +128. This play is good down to at least +113. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=inf8qq%22%3EEV Analytics!
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5
There is a value opportunity on Wyatt Langford's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting 0.26 home runs for him with a 22% chance that he records at least 1 home run. If you can get the over at +521 or better, there is great value here. This play is good down to at least +424. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
11
5
There is a value opportunity on Josh Jung's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting 0.18 home runs for him with a 16% chance that he records at least 1 home run. If you can get the over at +760 or better, there is great value here. This play is good down to at least +639. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
13
5
There is a value opportunity on Jake Burger's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting 0.29 home runs for him with a 25% chance that he records at least 1 home run. If you can get the over at +410 or better, there is great value here. This play is good down to at least +367. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
12
6
THE BAT X is forecasting 0.18 home runs for Lawrence Butler. Oddsmakers are implying 0.13 home runs, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 16% of the time resulting in a 37% ROI with expected value of $37.17 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least +621. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
12
4
There is a value opportunity on Brandon Nimmo's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting 0.20 home runs for him with a 17% chance that he records at least 1 home run. If you can get the over at +670 or better, there is great value here. This play is good down to at least +561. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
12
4
THE BAT X is forecasting 0.48 hits for Drew Gilbert compared to 0.72 hits implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here. If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 62% of the time, resulting in a 30% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $29.93. This play is good down to at least -116. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
14
5
Pending
Futures
Past Performance
Yesterday2-2-050%
1.80u
Last 7 Days6-18-223%
-0.41u
Last 30 Days8-27-321%
-5.39u
All Time70-108-1137%
2.36u
Top Leagues
NFL47-49-148%
7.51u
MLB23-59-1025%
-5.16u